#prediction-markets

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#blockchain

Limitless Labs Secures $3M Funding from 1confirmation to Revolutionize Prediction Markets | HackerNoon

Limitless Labs raised $3 million to enhance a fast-growing prediction marketplace with a focus on delivering innovative features and expanding user engagement.

Gnosis conditional token framework (CTF): tokenizing potential outcomes in prediction markets | HackerNoon

The Gnosis conditional token framework enhances prediction markets by tokenizing outcomes through blockchain smart contracts.

Prediction Market Kalshi to Supply Price Data for Crypto Oracle Stork

Kalshi partners with Stork to enhance crypto applications using prediction market data.
The collaboration aims to develop perpetual futures contracts on real-world event probabilities.

Polymarket Explained: How Blockchain Prediction Markets Are Shaping the Future of Forecasting | HackerNoon

Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market that prioritizes user control and experience via non-custodial wallets.

A New Prediction Market Raises $3M in Pre-Seed Round Led by 1confirmation

Limitless Network raised $3 million to create a prediction market focusing on quick expiration events like daily stock prices.

Limitless Labs Secures $3M Funding from 1confirmation to Revolutionize Prediction Markets | HackerNoon

Limitless Labs raised $3 million to enhance a fast-growing prediction marketplace with a focus on delivering innovative features and expanding user engagement.

Gnosis conditional token framework (CTF): tokenizing potential outcomes in prediction markets | HackerNoon

The Gnosis conditional token framework enhances prediction markets by tokenizing outcomes through blockchain smart contracts.

Prediction Market Kalshi to Supply Price Data for Crypto Oracle Stork

Kalshi partners with Stork to enhance crypto applications using prediction market data.
The collaboration aims to develop perpetual futures contracts on real-world event probabilities.

Polymarket Explained: How Blockchain Prediction Markets Are Shaping the Future of Forecasting | HackerNoon

Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market that prioritizes user control and experience via non-custodial wallets.

A New Prediction Market Raises $3M in Pre-Seed Round Led by 1confirmation

Limitless Network raised $3 million to create a prediction market focusing on quick expiration events like daily stock prices.
moreblockchain
#gambling

Presidential election still a toss-up

Election forecasts indicate a leading candidate, but the outcome remains highly uncertain, akin to gambling where perceived advantages can still lead to losses.

TechScape: Betting markets come for everything and the FBI comes for a betting market

Gambling on presidential elections became legal, marking a shift towards prediction markets with significant user engagement favoring Trump over Harris.

Online election gamblers expect $450 million jackpot after Trump's win

Prediction markets outperformed traditional polling in forecasting the U.S. election results, leading to significant payouts for gamblers.

Presidential election still a toss-up

Election forecasts indicate a leading candidate, but the outcome remains highly uncertain, akin to gambling where perceived advantages can still lead to losses.

TechScape: Betting markets come for everything and the FBI comes for a betting market

Gambling on presidential elections became legal, marking a shift towards prediction markets with significant user engagement favoring Trump over Harris.

Online election gamblers expect $450 million jackpot after Trump's win

Prediction markets outperformed traditional polling in forecasting the U.S. election results, leading to significant payouts for gamblers.
moregambling
#election-betting

Second Trump assassination attempt isn't changing the state of the race

Prediction markets show stable betting odds for Trump and Harris, indicating that the assassination attempt had no significant impact on election predictions.

Second Assassination Attempt Barely Moves Trump's Polymarket Odds

Trump's chances of winning the election decreased after a second assassination attempt, contrary to the first incident that had previously increased his odds.

Kalshi Cleared to Offer Congressional Prediction Markets in Victory Against CFTC

Kalshi's recent legal victory has opened the door for U.S. election markets, allowing betting on congressional control before the election.

Trump leads Harris on Robinhood's new prediction market with 100 million contracts traded

Robinhood's new election betting platform has gained immense popularity, trading over 100 million contracts in its first week.

Can You Bet on the Presidential Race? Here's How To Get Started | amNewYork

Kalshi offers a secure platform for U.S. citizens to legally bet on the presidential race following a recent regulatory change.

The Giant Asterisk on Election Betting

Election betting is gaining traction as a significant factor in predicting political outcomes.

Second Trump assassination attempt isn't changing the state of the race

Prediction markets show stable betting odds for Trump and Harris, indicating that the assassination attempt had no significant impact on election predictions.

Second Assassination Attempt Barely Moves Trump's Polymarket Odds

Trump's chances of winning the election decreased after a second assassination attempt, contrary to the first incident that had previously increased his odds.

Kalshi Cleared to Offer Congressional Prediction Markets in Victory Against CFTC

Kalshi's recent legal victory has opened the door for U.S. election markets, allowing betting on congressional control before the election.

Trump leads Harris on Robinhood's new prediction market with 100 million contracts traded

Robinhood's new election betting platform has gained immense popularity, trading over 100 million contracts in its first week.

Can You Bet on the Presidential Race? Here's How To Get Started | amNewYork

Kalshi offers a secure platform for U.S. citizens to legally bet on the presidential race following a recent regulatory change.

The Giant Asterisk on Election Betting

Election betting is gaining traction as a significant factor in predicting political outcomes.
moreelection-betting
#polymarket

Prediction markets post-Biden: Trump's chances down slightly, but Harris' odds jump to 40%

Prediction markets favor Trump post-Biden withdrawal.
Polymarket proves as reliable forecaster of political events.
Significant prediction swings related to Harris stepping into the spotlight.

The FBI just raided the home of Polymarket's founder. What does the future of electoral betting markets hold?

Polymarket's future is uncertain following an FBI raid linked to ongoing regulatory scrutiny and potential money laundering investigations.

Kamala Harris Pulls Well Ahead of Trump on Polymarket

Prediction markets show Harris leading on Polymarket. Trump's interview with Musk may involve MAGA and crypto. Kalshi bettors predict slim chance for OpenAI's Sora before 2025.

Polymarket nailed the 2024 election call-Then came the FBI

Polymarket's prediction market reflects changing dynamics in political forecasting, but regulatory challenges raise questions about its future operations.

U.S. Election Betting: Kalshi's Polymarket Rival Quickly Gets Traction

Kalshi's election prediction market volume suggests strong interest, despite a late launch.

Polymarket Reportedly Seeks $50M in Funding, Mulls Token as Election Bets Surge

Polymarket may issue a token to facilitate real-world event validations in prediction markets.

Prediction markets post-Biden: Trump's chances down slightly, but Harris' odds jump to 40%

Prediction markets favor Trump post-Biden withdrawal.
Polymarket proves as reliable forecaster of political events.
Significant prediction swings related to Harris stepping into the spotlight.

The FBI just raided the home of Polymarket's founder. What does the future of electoral betting markets hold?

Polymarket's future is uncertain following an FBI raid linked to ongoing regulatory scrutiny and potential money laundering investigations.

Kamala Harris Pulls Well Ahead of Trump on Polymarket

Prediction markets show Harris leading on Polymarket. Trump's interview with Musk may involve MAGA and crypto. Kalshi bettors predict slim chance for OpenAI's Sora before 2025.

Polymarket nailed the 2024 election call-Then came the FBI

Polymarket's prediction market reflects changing dynamics in political forecasting, but regulatory challenges raise questions about its future operations.

U.S. Election Betting: Kalshi's Polymarket Rival Quickly Gets Traction

Kalshi's election prediction market volume suggests strong interest, despite a late launch.

Polymarket Reportedly Seeks $50M in Funding, Mulls Token as Election Bets Surge

Polymarket may issue a token to facilitate real-world event validations in prediction markets.
morepolymarket
#market-analysis

How high will Bitcoin go? Here's what prediction markets say

Prediction markets show potential for Bitcoin projections, indicating $95,000 could be reached in November.

Political Betting Markets See Vindication in Trump Victory

Prediction markets like Polymarket outperformed traditional polls in forecasting Trump's election victory, marking a pivotal moment for the betting culture in politics.

How high will Bitcoin go? Here's what prediction markets say

Prediction markets show potential for Bitcoin projections, indicating $95,000 could be reached in November.

Political Betting Markets See Vindication in Trump Victory

Prediction markets like Polymarket outperformed traditional polls in forecasting Trump's election victory, marking a pivotal moment for the betting culture in politics.
moremarket-analysis
#polling-accuracy

Polymarket, Prediction Betting Markets Vindicated by Trump's Strong Showing

Prediction markets, especially Polymarket, effectively forecasted the 2024 election results, highlighting their reliability over traditional polling methods.

Live Election Polls: Here Are the Most Accurate Trump vs. Harris Predictions | amNewYork

Prediction markets are seen as more accurate than traditional polls for tracking the 2024 presidential election dynamics.

Polymarket predicted Trump's win. Now comes the hard part.

Prediction markets consistently provide more accurate election forecasts than traditional polls and media outlets.

Betting odds called the 2024 election better than polls did. What does this mean for the future of prediction markets?

Polls underestimated Donald Trump's support in the 2024 election, continuing a recent trend of polling inaccuracies.

Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour On Prediction Markets' Big Night: 'We Even Overtook Pornhub'

Prediction markets may provide alternative insights into election outcomes, contrasting sharply with traditional polls.

Can We Really Predict the Presidential Election?

The wisdom-of-the-crowd effect could improve the accuracy of predicting elections over traditional polling methods.

Polymarket, Prediction Betting Markets Vindicated by Trump's Strong Showing

Prediction markets, especially Polymarket, effectively forecasted the 2024 election results, highlighting their reliability over traditional polling methods.

Live Election Polls: Here Are the Most Accurate Trump vs. Harris Predictions | amNewYork

Prediction markets are seen as more accurate than traditional polls for tracking the 2024 presidential election dynamics.

Polymarket predicted Trump's win. Now comes the hard part.

Prediction markets consistently provide more accurate election forecasts than traditional polls and media outlets.

Betting odds called the 2024 election better than polls did. What does this mean for the future of prediction markets?

Polls underestimated Donald Trump's support in the 2024 election, continuing a recent trend of polling inaccuracies.

Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour On Prediction Markets' Big Night: 'We Even Overtook Pornhub'

Prediction markets may provide alternative insights into election outcomes, contrasting sharply with traditional polls.

Can We Really Predict the Presidential Election?

The wisdom-of-the-crowd effect could improve the accuracy of predicting elections over traditional polling methods.
morepolling-accuracy
#donald-trump

Odds of a Trump Victory Soar Past 60% on Betting Markets - What are Pollsters Missing?

Donald Trump leads Kamala Harris in prediction markets for the upcoming U.S. Presidential Election with odds heavily favoring his victory.

Harris-Trump polls tighten, but PredictIt and Polymarket tell a different story

Prediction markets offer real-time insights into voter sentiment, showing a different narrative than traditional polling data nearing the election.

Presidential betting odds: Get $20 in bonus bets with Kalshi | amNewYork

Dramatic shifts in presidential election odds reflect changing voter sentiment as Election Day approaches.
Prediction markets are drawing unprecedented volumes, indicating strong public engagement and financial interest.

First Mover Americas: Bitcoin Recedes to $67K as Crypto Market Sees Slight Dip

Bitcoin is consolidating around $67,000, with minor retracements as traders anticipate further movement.
Prediction markets show Donald Trump gaining momentum against Kamala Harris.
Asian wealth managers increasingly view crypto, especially Bitcoin, as a viable investment option.

Who is winning the election right now? How to bet on the presidential election | amNewYork

Prediction markets indicate Donald Trump is leading in the election with a 60% probability of winning.

Odds of a Trump Victory Soar Past 60% on Betting Markets - What are Pollsters Missing?

Donald Trump leads Kamala Harris in prediction markets for the upcoming U.S. Presidential Election with odds heavily favoring his victory.

Harris-Trump polls tighten, but PredictIt and Polymarket tell a different story

Prediction markets offer real-time insights into voter sentiment, showing a different narrative than traditional polling data nearing the election.

Presidential betting odds: Get $20 in bonus bets with Kalshi | amNewYork

Dramatic shifts in presidential election odds reflect changing voter sentiment as Election Day approaches.
Prediction markets are drawing unprecedented volumes, indicating strong public engagement and financial interest.

First Mover Americas: Bitcoin Recedes to $67K as Crypto Market Sees Slight Dip

Bitcoin is consolidating around $67,000, with minor retracements as traders anticipate further movement.
Prediction markets show Donald Trump gaining momentum against Kamala Harris.
Asian wealth managers increasingly view crypto, especially Bitcoin, as a viable investment option.

Who is winning the election right now? How to bet on the presidential election | amNewYork

Prediction markets indicate Donald Trump is leading in the election with a 60% probability of winning.
moredonald-trump
#political-betting

Polymarket users have wagered $3.2 billion on the outcome of the election-and the majority of bets are on Trump winning

The 2024 election featured unprecedented developments, including a sitting President being ousted by his own party and the rise of prediction markets for election betting.

Why prediction markets swung heavily against Trump as the election neared

Prediction markets reveal volatility in betting odds for political candidates, complicating their ability to predict outcomes accurately.

Can Prediction Market Boom Continue After Election? This Crypto Team Has a Plan

The future of prediction markets may face challenges after the 2024 elections due to dwindling interest and liquidity.
Hedgehog Markets aims to create more sustainable prediction markets by focusing on less liquid but potentially enduring events.

Polymarket users have wagered $3.2 billion on the outcome of the election-and the majority of bets are on Trump winning

The 2024 election featured unprecedented developments, including a sitting President being ousted by his own party and the rise of prediction markets for election betting.

Why prediction markets swung heavily against Trump as the election neared

Prediction markets reveal volatility in betting odds for political candidates, complicating their ability to predict outcomes accurately.

Can Prediction Market Boom Continue After Election? This Crypto Team Has a Plan

The future of prediction markets may face challenges after the 2024 elections due to dwindling interest and liquidity.
Hedgehog Markets aims to create more sustainable prediction markets by focusing on less liquid but potentially enduring events.
morepolitical-betting
#us-presidential-election

The polls say the presidential election is a dead heat. But online bettors are leaning to Trump. Who's right?

Prediction markets show a shift in momentum towards Trump, despite polls showing a close race with Harris.

Prediction Markets Are Pricing In A Trump Victory. This Is Good For Bitcoin

Prediction markets reflect financial motivations, not political loyalty.
Traders analyze odds and data, showing diverse motivations in betting behavior.

The 'Trump Trade' Crypto Narrative is Overblown

Bitcoin's recent surge may not be directly connected to Trump's election odds as the correlation analysis shows almost no relationship.

The polls say the presidential election is a dead heat. But online bettors are leaning to Trump. Who's right?

Prediction markets show a shift in momentum towards Trump, despite polls showing a close race with Harris.

Prediction Markets Are Pricing In A Trump Victory. This Is Good For Bitcoin

Prediction markets reflect financial motivations, not political loyalty.
Traders analyze odds and data, showing diverse motivations in betting behavior.

The 'Trump Trade' Crypto Narrative is Overblown

Bitcoin's recent surge may not be directly connected to Trump's election odds as the correlation analysis shows almost no relationship.
moreus-presidential-election

Billionaire Game Theory + We Are Not Ready for A.G.I. + Election Betting Markets Get Weird

Tech billionaires are cautious about political endorsements, speculating on a possible Trump comeback.
The readiness for superintelligence is critical in AI development, highlighting ethical challenges.
Prediction markets like Polymarket may influence political outcomes amidst uncertainty.

Betting Markets Favor Trump. But Their Record of Accuracy Is Mixed.

Polls and prediction markets show differing predictions for election outcomes, creating an ongoing debate about their accuracy and reliability.

Don't Bet on the Financial Scam of Easily Manipulated Political Prediction Markets

Prediction markets are unreliable indicators for political forecasting due to thin trading volume and speculative motivations.
#2024-election

Trump's Lead Over Harris Widens on Polymarket's Prediction Market

Trump's odds of winning the election are at a recent high, indicating increased trader confidence.

A handful of pro-Trump bettors have dumped more than $25 million into Polymarket, swaying election odds in his favor

Prediction markets, particularly Polymarket, suggest former President Trump has a strong advantage in the upcoming election compared to traditional polls.

Trump's Lead Over Harris Widens on Polymarket's Prediction Market

Trump's odds of winning the election are at a recent high, indicating increased trader confidence.

A handful of pro-Trump bettors have dumped more than $25 million into Polymarket, swaying election odds in his favor

Prediction markets, particularly Polymarket, suggest former President Trump has a strong advantage in the upcoming election compared to traditional polls.
more2024-election
#kalshi

Prediction Market Kalshi to Take Bets on Crypto (Settled in Dollars)

Kalshi launching prediction markets on crypto price outcomes in U.S. dollars.
Kalshi's move into crypto coincides with a surge in digital asset prices and renewed interest in prediction markets.

U.S. Election Betting: Federal Court 'Erred' in Letting Kalshi Launch Prediction Markets, CFTC Says

A federal judge's ruling allows Kalshi to list election betting contracts, prompting the CFTC to appeal based on concerns of improper regulatory oversight.

Kalshi's U.S. Election Markets Delayed Until Friday at Earliest

Kalshi may launch U.S. election prediction markets following a legal victory, but a hearing's outcome is pending.

Prediction Market Kalshi to Take Bets on Crypto (Settled in Dollars)

Kalshi launching prediction markets on crypto price outcomes in U.S. dollars.
Kalshi's move into crypto coincides with a surge in digital asset prices and renewed interest in prediction markets.

U.S. Election Betting: Federal Court 'Erred' in Letting Kalshi Launch Prediction Markets, CFTC Says

A federal judge's ruling allows Kalshi to list election betting contracts, prompting the CFTC to appeal based on concerns of improper regulatory oversight.

Kalshi's U.S. Election Markets Delayed Until Friday at Earliest

Kalshi may launch U.S. election prediction markets following a legal victory, but a hearing's outcome is pending.
morekalshi
#cryptocurrency

U.S. Political Prediction Markets :Why Kalshi's Court Victory Matters

Judge Cobb's ruling favors Kalshi, potentially reshaping the future of prediction markets and challenging the CFTC's regulatory authority.

Trump and Biden Likely Won't Shake Hands at Debate, Prediction Market Says

Prediction markets suggest uncertainty around Biden and Trump shaking hands at the 2024 presidential debate.

Trump-Harris Debate: Polymarket Shows Slim Odds of Crypto Mention

Cryptocurrency is increasingly relevant in political discussions, evidenced by its potential mention in presidential debates.

DYdX to Debut Perpetual Futures on Prediction Markets as DEX Seeks to Raise Profile

dYdX plans to launch perpetual futures on prediction markets to help DeFi regain attention and distinguish itself from centralized exchanges.

Donald Trump gains the upper hand in the prediction markets-an indicator more accurate than polls, expert claims

Prediction markets may provide more accurate insights into election outcomes than traditional polls.

U.S. Political Prediction Markets :Why Kalshi's Court Victory Matters

Judge Cobb's ruling favors Kalshi, potentially reshaping the future of prediction markets and challenging the CFTC's regulatory authority.

Trump and Biden Likely Won't Shake Hands at Debate, Prediction Market Says

Prediction markets suggest uncertainty around Biden and Trump shaking hands at the 2024 presidential debate.

Trump-Harris Debate: Polymarket Shows Slim Odds of Crypto Mention

Cryptocurrency is increasingly relevant in political discussions, evidenced by its potential mention in presidential debates.

DYdX to Debut Perpetual Futures on Prediction Markets as DEX Seeks to Raise Profile

dYdX plans to launch perpetual futures on prediction markets to help DeFi regain attention and distinguish itself from centralized exchanges.

Donald Trump gains the upper hand in the prediction markets-an indicator more accurate than polls, expert claims

Prediction markets may provide more accurate insights into election outcomes than traditional polls.
morecryptocurrency

Predict the next unicorn? Insights from "superforecaster" VCs can help. Here's how

Human intuition remains unparalleled in predicting future outcomes, especially in venture capital.

Cypherpunks Write Code: Jim Bell & Assassination Politics | HackerNoon

Jim Bell's 'Assassination Politics' introduces a controversial concept of using prediction markets for targeting government officials, reflecting radical anarcho-libertarian ideologies.
#market-trends

Trump Inches Closer to Harris on Polymarket as Betting Passes $1 Billion

Harris is leading in prediction markets for swing states, while skepticism looms over Bitcoin's rally and doubts exist about 'Black Myth: Wukong' winning awards.

Could Prediction Markets Offer Better Odds at Who Wins the US Elections? | HackerNoon

Most users engage with prediction markets for observation rather than trading.
Understanding user behavior is essential for refining product development and marketing strategies.

Trump Inches Closer to Harris on Polymarket as Betting Passes $1 Billion

Harris is leading in prediction markets for swing states, while skepticism looms over Bitcoin's rally and doubts exist about 'Black Myth: Wukong' winning awards.

Could Prediction Markets Offer Better Odds at Who Wins the US Elections? | HackerNoon

Most users engage with prediction markets for observation rather than trading.
Understanding user behavior is essential for refining product development and marketing strategies.
moremarket-trends

Caroline Ellison Most Likely Won't Serve Time, Polymarket Traders Bet

Caroline Ellison may avoid prison due to cooperation with prosecutors, according to prediction markets.
Traders remain skeptical about Qualcomm's bid for Intel succeeding.

All the signs Trump lost the debate

Trump's premature declaration of victory during the debate suggests desperation rather than confidence, indicating a potential loss in his campaign.

Kamala Harris Will 'Win' First Debate With Trump, Polymarket Traders Are Betting

Prediction markets reveal hesitance in the impact of debates on polls, as seen by unsuccessful manipulative strategies and regained stability post-debate.

Dragonfly, Crypto.com Weigh in on CFTC's Proposed Prediction Market Rules

Crypto industry criticizes CFTC's proposed rules on prediction markets, highlighting concerns of overreach and ambiguity.

Polymarket Whales Favor Trump as Election Betting Surges Past $400M

Main Prediction Market Insights: Trump favored over Harris, China to keep Bitcoin ban, Coinbase volume to decrease.

Trump and Biden Tied on Polymarket, Diverging From Polls

Prediction markets show 45% chance for both Trump and Biden to win the U.S. presidency, differing from polls.

Trump or Biden? The Stock Market Doesn't Care.

Prediction markets show tight race between Biden and Trump, despite strong economy and stock market performance.

Risk Assets Like Bitcoin Are Defying Low Fed Rate Cut Expectations: Analyst

Risk assets like bitcoin are resilient to U.S. inflation and a Fed rate cut.
Prediction markets suggest that BTC will hit an all-time high this year.

What Prediction Markets Are Forecasting for Crypto in 2024

Prediction markets allow participants to bet on the outcome of real-world events and provide insights into what people really think.
Crypto is taking prediction markets to the next level by making them borderless, permissionless, and automating functions.

Biden Likely to Win Popular Vote, but Not Presidency, Prediction Market Signals

Prediction markets show indications on popular vote outcomes.
Regulatory settlements impact prediction market access for U.S. users.

Will Trump Trounce Biden? Polymarket Traders Are Betting on It.

Prediction markets may exhibit a bias towards front-runners like Trump but aim to be reliable gauges of sentiment, superior to traditional polling methods.
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