Polymarket users have wagered $3.2 billion on the outcome of the election-and the majority of bets are on Trump winning
The 2024 election featured unprecedented developments, including a sitting President being ousted by his own party and the rise of prediction markets for election betting.
Why prediction markets swung heavily against Trump as the election neared
Prediction markets reveal volatility in betting odds for political candidates, complicating their ability to predict outcomes accurately.
No, Polymarket Whales Aren't Evidence of Prediction Market Manipulation
Trump's odds have surged in prediction markets, indicating possible genuine support rather than manipulation.
Can Prediction Market Boom Continue After Election? This Crypto Team Has a Plan
The future of prediction markets may face challenges after the 2024 elections due to dwindling interest and liquidity.
Hedgehog Markets aims to create more sustainable prediction markets by focusing on less liquid but potentially enduring events.
Polymarket users have wagered $3.2 billion on the outcome of the election-and the majority of bets are on Trump winning
The 2024 election featured unprecedented developments, including a sitting President being ousted by his own party and the rise of prediction markets for election betting.
Why prediction markets swung heavily against Trump as the election neared
Prediction markets reveal volatility in betting odds for political candidates, complicating their ability to predict outcomes accurately.
No, Polymarket Whales Aren't Evidence of Prediction Market Manipulation
Trump's odds have surged in prediction markets, indicating possible genuine support rather than manipulation.
Can Prediction Market Boom Continue After Election? This Crypto Team Has a Plan
The future of prediction markets may face challenges after the 2024 elections due to dwindling interest and liquidity.
Hedgehog Markets aims to create more sustainable prediction markets by focusing on less liquid but potentially enduring events.
US-based customers cannot use Polymarket for betting; Kalshi offers a legal alternative for election and other betting.
Prediction Market Kalshi to Supply Price Data for Crypto Oracle Stork
Kalshi partners with Stork to enhance crypto applications using prediction market data.
The collaboration aims to develop perpetual futures contracts on real-world event probabilities.
Activist Group Says Kalshi's Election Market Should Be Shut Due to 'Manipulative' Whales
Kalshi's battle to offer political betting is challenged by concerns over election integrity and market manipulation, contrasting its regulated platform with Polymarket's unregulated environment.
U.S. Election Betting: Kalshi's Polymarket Rival Quickly Gets Traction
Kalshi's election prediction market volume suggests strong interest, despite a late launch.
U.S. Election Betting: Federal Court 'Erred' in Letting Kalshi Launch Prediction Markets, CFTC Says
A federal judge's ruling allows Kalshi to list election betting contracts, prompting the CFTC to appeal based on concerns of improper regulatory oversight.
U.S. Election Betting: Regulated Presidential Markets Are Live, and Tiny Compared to Polymarket's
Two new U.S. prediction markets for the presidential election launched, allowing bets on election outcomes.
How to Bet on Polymarket in the US | amNewYork
US-based customers cannot use Polymarket for betting; Kalshi offers a legal alternative for election and other betting.
Prediction Market Kalshi to Supply Price Data for Crypto Oracle Stork
Kalshi partners with Stork to enhance crypto applications using prediction market data.
The collaboration aims to develop perpetual futures contracts on real-world event probabilities.
Activist Group Says Kalshi's Election Market Should Be Shut Due to 'Manipulative' Whales
Kalshi's battle to offer political betting is challenged by concerns over election integrity and market manipulation, contrasting its regulated platform with Polymarket's unregulated environment.
U.S. Election Betting: Kalshi's Polymarket Rival Quickly Gets Traction
Kalshi's election prediction market volume suggests strong interest, despite a late launch.
U.S. Election Betting: Federal Court 'Erred' in Letting Kalshi Launch Prediction Markets, CFTC Says
A federal judge's ruling allows Kalshi to list election betting contracts, prompting the CFTC to appeal based on concerns of improper regulatory oversight.
U.S. Election Betting: Regulated Presidential Markets Are Live, and Tiny Compared to Polymarket's
Two new U.S. prediction markets for the presidential election launched, allowing bets on election outcomes.
The wisdom-of-the-crowd effect could improve the accuracy of predicting elections over traditional polling methods.
Polymarket bets tilt toward a Trump victory-but how accurate are they?
Polymarket offers a novel approach to election predictions, but its limited liquidity raises concerns over reliability compared to traditional polling.
Trump and Biden Tied on Polymarket, Diverging From Polls
Prediction markets show 45% chance for both Trump and Biden to win the U.S. presidency, differing from polls.
Can We Really Predict the Presidential Election?
The wisdom-of-the-crowd effect could improve the accuracy of predicting elections over traditional polling methods.
Polymarket bets tilt toward a Trump victory-but how accurate are they?
Polymarket offers a novel approach to election predictions, but its limited liquidity raises concerns over reliability compared to traditional polling.
Trump and Biden Tied on Polymarket, Diverging From Polls
Prediction markets show 45% chance for both Trump and Biden to win the U.S. presidency, differing from polls.
A handful of pro-Trump bettors have dumped more than $25 million into Polymarket, swaying election odds in his favor
Prediction markets, particularly Polymarket, suggest former President Trump has a strong advantage in the upcoming election compared to traditional polls.
Trump's Lead Over Harris Widens on Polymarket's Prediction Market
Trump's odds of winning the election are at a recent high, indicating increased trader confidence.
A handful of pro-Trump bettors have dumped more than $25 million into Polymarket, swaying election odds in his favor
Prediction markets, particularly Polymarket, suggest former President Trump has a strong advantage in the upcoming election compared to traditional polls.
Trump's Lead Over Harris Widens on Polymarket's Prediction Market
Trump's odds of winning the election are at a recent high, indicating increased trader confidence.
Donald Trump gains the upper hand in the prediction markets-an indicator more accurate than polls, expert claims
Prediction markets may provide more accurate insights into election outcomes than traditional polls.
Polymarket Reportedly Seeks $50M in Funding, Mulls Token as Election Bets Surge
Polymarket may issue a token to facilitate real-world event validations in prediction markets.
A New Prediction Market Raises $3M in Pre-Seed Round Led by 1confirmation
Limitless Network raised $3 million to create a prediction market focusing on quick expiration events like daily stock prices.
DYdX to Debut Perpetual Futures on Prediction Markets as DEX Seeks to Raise Profile
dYdX plans to launch perpetual futures on prediction markets to help DeFi regain attention and distinguish itself from centralized exchanges.
Trump-Harris Debate: Polymarket Shows Slim Odds of Crypto Mention
Cryptocurrency is increasingly relevant in political discussions, evidenced by its potential mention in presidential debates.
Kamala Harris Pulls Well Ahead of Trump on Polymarket
Prediction markets show Harris leading on Polymarket. Trump's interview with Musk may involve MAGA and crypto. Kalshi bettors predict slim chance for OpenAI's Sora before 2025.
Donald Trump gains the upper hand in the prediction markets-an indicator more accurate than polls, expert claims
Prediction markets may provide more accurate insights into election outcomes than traditional polls.
Polymarket Reportedly Seeks $50M in Funding, Mulls Token as Election Bets Surge
Polymarket may issue a token to facilitate real-world event validations in prediction markets.
A New Prediction Market Raises $3M in Pre-Seed Round Led by 1confirmation
Limitless Network raised $3 million to create a prediction market focusing on quick expiration events like daily stock prices.
DYdX to Debut Perpetual Futures on Prediction Markets as DEX Seeks to Raise Profile
dYdX plans to launch perpetual futures on prediction markets to help DeFi regain attention and distinguish itself from centralized exchanges.
Trump-Harris Debate: Polymarket Shows Slim Odds of Crypto Mention
Cryptocurrency is increasingly relevant in political discussions, evidenced by its potential mention in presidential debates.
Kamala Harris Pulls Well Ahead of Trump on Polymarket
Prediction markets show Harris leading on Polymarket. Trump's interview with Musk may involve MAGA and crypto. Kalshi bettors predict slim chance for OpenAI's Sora before 2025.
Predict the next unicorn? Insights from "superforecaster" VCs can help. Here's how
Human intuition remains unparalleled in predicting future outcomes, especially in venture capital.
Cypherpunks Write Code: Jim Bell & Assassination Politics | HackerNoon
Jim Bell's 'Assassination Politics' introduces a controversial concept of using prediction markets for targeting government officials, reflecting radical anarcho-libertarian ideologies.
Trump Inches Closer to Harris on Polymarket as Betting Passes $1 Billion
Harris is leading in prediction markets for swing states, while skepticism looms over Bitcoin's rally and doubts exist about 'Black Myth: Wukong' winning awards.
Could Prediction Markets Offer Better Odds at Who Wins the US Elections? | HackerNoon
Most users engage with prediction markets for observation rather than trading.
Understanding user behavior is essential for refining product development and marketing strategies.
Trump Inches Closer to Harris on Polymarket as Betting Passes $1 Billion
Harris is leading in prediction markets for swing states, while skepticism looms over Bitcoin's rally and doubts exist about 'Black Myth: Wukong' winning awards.
Could Prediction Markets Offer Better Odds at Who Wins the US Elections? | HackerNoon
Most users engage with prediction markets for observation rather than trading.
Understanding user behavior is essential for refining product development and marketing strategies.
Caroline Ellison Most Likely Won't Serve Time, Polymarket Traders Bet
Caroline Ellison may avoid prison due to cooperation with prosecutors, according to prediction markets.
Traders remain skeptical about Qualcomm's bid for Intel succeeding.
Limitless Labs Secures $3M Funding from 1confirmation to Revolutionize Prediction Markets | HackerNoon
Limitless Labs raised $3 million to enhance a fast-growing prediction marketplace with a focus on delivering innovative features and expanding user engagement.
All the signs Trump lost the debate
Trump's premature declaration of victory during the debate suggests desperation rather than confidence, indicating a potential loss in his campaign.
Kamala Harris Will 'Win' First Debate With Trump, Polymarket Traders Are Betting
Prediction markets reveal hesitance in the impact of debates on polls, as seen by unsuccessful manipulative strategies and regained stability post-debate.
Dragonfly, Crypto.com Weigh in on CFTC's Proposed Prediction Market Rules
Crypto industry criticizes CFTC's proposed rules on prediction markets, highlighting concerns of overreach and ambiguity.
Polymarket Whales Favor Trump as Election Betting Surges Past $400M
Main Prediction Market Insights: Trump favored over Harris, China to keep Bitcoin ban, Coinbase volume to decrease.
Prediction markets show tight race between Biden and Trump, despite strong economy and stock market performance.
Risk Assets Like Bitcoin Are Defying Low Fed Rate Cut Expectations: Analyst
Risk assets like bitcoin are resilient to U.S. inflation and a Fed rate cut.
Prediction markets suggest that BTC will hit an all-time high this year.
What Prediction Markets Are Forecasting for Crypto in 2024
Prediction markets allow participants to bet on the outcome of real-world events and provide insights into what people really think.
Crypto is taking prediction markets to the next level by making them borderless, permissionless, and automating functions.
Biden Likely to Win Popular Vote, but Not Presidency, Prediction Market Signals
Prediction markets show indications on popular vote outcomes.
Regulatory settlements impact prediction market access for U.S. users.
Will Trump Trounce Biden? Polymarket Traders Are Betting on It.
Prediction markets may exhibit a bias towards front-runners like Trump but aim to be reliable gauges of sentiment, superior to traditional polling methods.