#prediction-markets

[ follow ]
Poker
fromnews.bitcoin.com
8 hours ago

Crypto.com Partners With NYSE-Listed Casino Operator High Roller to Launch US Prediction Market Contracts

Crypto.com partners with High Roller Technologies to offer prediction market contracts in the U.S., targeting finance, sports, and entertainment sectors.
Media industry
fromNieman Lab
14 hours ago

Prediction markets are breaking the news and becoming their own beat

Prediction markets are evolving, becoming integral to news, with partnerships forming between market platforms and major news organizations.
Cryptocurrency
fromArs Technica
17 hours ago

It's Tax Day, and no one knows how to file for prediction market winnings

Traders face challenges in reporting prediction market earnings due to lack of guidance and tax documentation, complicating the self-reporting process.
#kalshi
Poker
fromReadWrite
20 hours ago

Ohio targets Kalshi with $5M fine in betting crackdown

Ohio regulators propose a $5 million penalty against Kalshi for operating illegal sports gambling in the state.
Law
fromReadWrite
1 day ago

Kalshi challenges Montana authority over prediction markets

Kalshi is suing Montana to assert federal oversight over its prediction market platform against state gambling regulations.
Law
fromTechCrunch
4 days ago

Kalshi wins temporary pause in Arizona criminal case | TechCrunch

Arizona's case against prediction market Kalshi faces a setback due to a temporary restraining order from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission.
Law
fromwww.businessinsider.com
5 days ago

Arizona's criminal case against Kalshi was halted by a federal judge after the Trump administration stepped in

A judge temporarily halted Arizona's criminal case against Kalshi, supporting federal regulation of prediction markets over state control.
Law
fromReadWrite
1 week ago

Federal appeals court ruling strengthens Kalshi case

Kalshi won a federal appeals court ruling that federal law likely overrides New Jersey's gambling restrictions.
SF politics
fromReadWrite
20 hours ago

Minnesota moves to ban prediction markets with felony penalties

Minnesota lawmakers are advancing a bill to outlaw most prediction markets, categorizing them as unlicensed gambling.
fromThe Verge
1 day ago

Ben McKenzie vs. crypto

Ben McKenzie’s documentary, Everyone Is Lying To You For Money, takes viewers on a revealing journey through the chaotic world of cryptocurrency, showcasing the skepticism surrounding it.
Podcast
fromnews.bitcoin.com
2 days ago

Robinhood Restricts High-Risk Prediction Contracts Amid Israel Insider Trading Charges, Iran Bet Scrutiny

Robinhood UK President Jordan Sinclair stated that the company is very focused on market abuse and insider trading, emphasizing that not all prediction markets are offered to customers.
Business
California
fromwww.businessinsider.com
2 days ago

This billionaire is the odds-on favorite to become California's governor after Swalwell dropped out

Tom Steyer is now favored to win the California gubernatorial election with a 55% chance after Eric Swalwell dropped out amid misconduct allegations.
fromReadWrite
2 days ago

Kalshi joins SelfExclude: guide to prediction markets self-exclusion

SelfExclude.io provides users with a way to voluntarily block themselves from prediction market trading across various platforms. Instead of managing limits on each app, users can enroll once, and the restriction applies broadly.
Privacy technologies
#cftc
Intellectual property law
fromnews.bitcoin.com
1 week ago

CFTC and DOJ Sue 3 States as Jurisdiction Battle Raises Stakes for Prediction Markets

Federal authorities are asserting exclusive jurisdiction over prediction markets, challenging state regulations to ensure a unified framework for derivatives oversight.
Intellectual property law
fromnews.bitcoin.com
1 week ago

Prediction Market Showdown: CFTC and DOJ Challenge Illinois State Gambling Authority in Federal Court

The CFTC filed a lawsuit against Illinois officials, asserting exclusive federal jurisdiction over prediction markets, challenging state gambling laws.
Law
fromReadWrite
2 days ago

Federal judge blocks Arizona case over prediction markets

A federal judge has paused Arizona's criminal enforcement against prediction markets, indicating federal law likely prevails over state gambling laws.
Cryptocurrency
fromnews.bitcoin.com
5 days ago

CFTC Names Key Innovation Task Force Team Focusing on Crypto, AI and Prediction Markets

CFTC establishes an Innovation Task Force to enhance regulatory clarity for crypto, AI, and prediction markets.
Law
fromnews.bitcoin.com
6 days ago

CFTC Seeks Injunction, Restraining Order as Arizona Applies State Criminal Laws to Prediction Markets

Federal regulators are asserting exclusive authority over prediction markets, challenging state interference and seeking to prevent fragmented oversight.
Law
fromEngadget
1 week ago

CFTC sues three states for trying to regulate prediction markets

CFTC is suing states for attempting to regulate prediction markets, asserting its exclusive jurisdiction over these financial instruments.
Intellectual property law
fromnews.bitcoin.com
1 week ago

CFTC and DOJ Sue 3 States as Jurisdiction Battle Raises Stakes for Prediction Markets

Federal authorities are asserting exclusive jurisdiction over prediction markets, challenging state regulations to ensure a unified framework for derivatives oversight.
Intellectual property law
fromnews.bitcoin.com
1 week ago

Prediction Market Showdown: CFTC and DOJ Challenge Illinois State Gambling Authority in Federal Court

The CFTC filed a lawsuit against Illinois officials, asserting exclusive federal jurisdiction over prediction markets, challenging state gambling laws.
#insider-trading
Business
fromFuturism
3 days ago

Billionaire Says Insider Trading Should Be Fully Legalized

Legalizing insider trading could allow asset prices to correct themselves, according to billionaire Thomas Peterffy.
Cryptocurrency
fromFortune
1 week ago

Prediction markets caught insider traders in real time. Congress wants to shut them down anyway | Fortune

Prediction markets expose insider trading issues, offering transparency through blockchain technology, and should not be banned by legislation.
US Elections
fromFortune
1 week ago

Prediction markets have sparked a golden age of insider trading-but the party may be coming to an end | Fortune

Insider trading in prediction markets has surged, raising concerns about unethical betting practices and lack of regulatory oversight.
Law
fromFortune
2 weeks ago

New top federal enforcer has his sights set on ending insider trading on prediction markets | Fortune

Curbing insider trading on prediction markets is a top priority for the Commodity Futures Trading Commission.
US politics
fromwww.mediaite.com
3 weeks ago

AOC Slams Prediction Markets' Move to Curb Insider Trading

Prediction markets face criticism and proposed legislation amid concerns over insider trading and insufficient measures to address the issue.
Business
fromFuturism
3 days ago

Billionaire Says Insider Trading Should Be Fully Legalized

Legalizing insider trading could allow asset prices to correct themselves, according to billionaire Thomas Peterffy.
Cryptocurrency
fromFortune
1 week ago

Prediction markets caught insider traders in real time. Congress wants to shut them down anyway | Fortune

Prediction markets expose insider trading issues, offering transparency through blockchain technology, and should not be banned by legislation.
US Elections
fromFortune
1 week ago

Prediction markets have sparked a golden age of insider trading-but the party may be coming to an end | Fortune

Insider trading in prediction markets has surged, raising concerns about unethical betting practices and lack of regulatory oversight.
Law
fromFortune
2 weeks ago

New top federal enforcer has his sights set on ending insider trading on prediction markets | Fortune

Curbing insider trading on prediction markets is a top priority for the Commodity Futures Trading Commission.
US politics
fromwww.mediaite.com
3 weeks ago

AOC Slams Prediction Markets' Move to Curb Insider Trading

Prediction markets face criticism and proposed legislation amid concerns over insider trading and insufficient measures to address the issue.
#polymarket
fromwww.npr.org
5 days ago
US Elections

Well-timed bets on Polymarket tied to the Iran war draw calls for investigations from lawmakers

fromFuturism
6 days ago
Media industry

Google News Now Prominently Featuring Polymarket Bets Alongside Actual Journalism

fromDefector
1 week ago
Poker

Polymarket Apologizes For Taking Bets On American Pilots Downed Over Iran | Defector

Germany news
fromwww.dw.com
3 days ago

Germany: Betting on elections is illegal but possible

Polymarket accepts bets on German elections despite being illegal in Germany, raising concerns for regulators and law enforcement.
US Elections
fromwww.npr.org
5 days ago

Well-timed bets on Polymarket tied to the Iran war draw calls for investigations from lawmakers

Calls for investigations into Polymarket arise due to suspicious trading patterns linked to major geopolitical events.
Media industry
fromFuturism
6 days ago

Google News Now Prominently Featuring Polymarket Bets Alongside Actual Journalism

Polymarket bets are now featured prominently in Google News alongside traditional news articles.
Cryptocurrency
fromnews.bitcoin.com
1 week ago

Why Long-Term Profitability Remains Elusive for 99% of Polymarket Users

84.1% of Polymarket traders are unprofitable, with high earnings being extremely rare and most users losing money.
fromDefector
1 week ago
Poker

Polymarket Apologizes For Taking Bets On American Pilots Downed Over Iran | Defector

fromBleacher Nation
4 days ago

Can I Bet Politics on DraftKings and FanDuel in 2026? - Bleacher Nation

In the United States, you generally cannot place a real-money bet on an election using the standard DraftKings or FanDuel Sportsbook apps due to strict regulations.
Chicago Cubs
fromwww.theguardian.com
4 days ago

Abhorrent': the inside story of the Polymarket gamblers betting millions on war

Horekunden expressed frustration with the Institute for the Study of War, describing their frontline maps as incoherent and unhelpful for settling bets on Polymarket.
Russo-Ukrainian War
US politics
fromwww.businessinsider.com
4 days ago

What bets are lawmakers and staffers making on prediction markets? They're not required to tell us.

Federal officials must disclose stock trades, but prediction market trades lack similar transparency, raising concerns about insider trading.
Law
fromnews.bitcoin.com
5 days ago

CFTC Secures Court Order Blocking Arizona Criminal Case Against Prediction Markets

Federal intervention is increasing control over U.S. prediction markets, with courts supporting centralized oversight against state enforcement actions.
Poker
fromFortune
5 days ago

Prediction markets have made betting easier than ever-and young men are paying the price | Fortune

Prediction markets like Kalshi are gaining popularity among young gamblers, raising concerns about problem gambling and mental health.
fromEngadget
5 days ago

Google has reportedly started to add Polymarket data to News results

Bets tend to appear in the 'For you' section of Google News, which is supposed to be tailored to a person's particular interests. Futurism notes that the platform actually placed a Polymarket bet as the top news result when inquiring about the price of Bitcoin.
Media industry
Poker
fromESPN.com
6 days ago

Senator contacts leagues over 'gambling's ugly takeover'

A U.S. senator raised concerns about the impact of gambling on sports integrity and athlete safety in letters to major sports leagues.
fromReadWrite
5 days ago

Minnesota bill targets prediction market betting

The bill describes a 'prediction market' as 'a system that allows consumers to place a wager on the future outcome of a specified event that is not determined or affected by the performance of the parties to the contract.'
Poker
Law
fromReadWrite
5 days ago

Tennessee prediction market felony bill passes Senate

Tennessee lawmakers are advancing legislation to criminalize attempts to influence prediction market outcomes for financial gain.
fromReadWrite
6 days ago

Inside the CFTC lawsuits reshaping prediction markets and the law

"The current administration has signaled that it is very pro-business and wants to make it as easy as possible for these new fintech business models such as prediction markets and crypto to operate."
Intellectual property law
fromwww.bbc.com
6 days ago

White House staff told not to place bets on prediction markets

An email was sent to White House staff on 24 March, warning them against using insider information to place bets on prediction markets like Kalshi or Polymarket.
US Elections
Cryptocurrency
fromnews.bitcoin.com
6 days ago

Binance Integrates Prediction Markets Into Wallet, Bringing On-Chain Outcome Trading Directly Into Its App

Binance launched prediction markets, allowing users to trade real-world outcome probabilities through its wallet, enhancing its decentralized platform integration.
Cryptocurrency
fromnews.bitcoin.com
6 days ago

Bitcoin Price Prediction Markets Show $100K Odds at 12% for 2026, Data Reveals

Traders are divided on bitcoin's price, showing caution in the near term but optimism for long-term gains in 2026.
#fox-corporation
Media industry
fromReadWrite
1 week ago

Fox integrates Kalshi prediction data across platforms

Fox Corporation partners with Kalshi to integrate prediction market data into its news programming across multiple platforms.
Media industry
fromFast Company
1 week ago

Fox is the latest to add prediction markets as a new 'data layer' for news coverage

Fox Corporation partners with Kalshi to integrate prediction market data into its cable networks, enhancing reporting with real-time forecasts.
Media industry
fromnews.bitcoin.com
1 week ago

Fox Corporation Partners With Kalshi to Add Prediction Market Data to FOX News and FOX One

Fox Corporation integrates Kalshi prediction market data into major platforms, enhancing news coverage with real-time forecasts starting April 7, 2026.
#fox-news
Media industry
fromJezebel
1 week ago

Kalshi to peddle its wares to Fox News' famously temperate, disciplined audience

Kalshi's prediction markets will be integrated into Fox News, providing data on various events, but not replacing traditional polling methods.
Media industry
fromThe Verge
1 week ago

Fox News cuts a deal with Kalshi.

Fox News has partnered with Kalshi for paid product placement, joining other news organizations in utilizing prediction markets.
Media industry
fromJezebel
1 week ago

Kalshi to peddle its wares to Fox News' famously temperate, disciplined audience

Kalshi's prediction markets will be integrated into Fox News, providing data on various events, but not replacing traditional polling methods.
Media industry
fromThe Verge
1 week ago

Fox News cuts a deal with Kalshi.

Fox News has partnered with Kalshi for paid product placement, joining other news organizations in utilizing prediction markets.
fromReadWrite
1 week ago

Prediction markets disrupt tribal gaming law balance, experts say

"Today, our Board took decisive action to protect what generations before us fought to build. These so-called prediction markets are an attempt to bypass tribal authority and recast gambling as a financial product. We will not allow that. We will stand united to defend tribal sovereignty and the integrity of Indian gaming."
SF politics
Poker
fromWIRED
1 week ago

Nobody Knows How to File Taxes on Prediction Market Wins

Tax guidance for prediction market profits is unclear, leaving taxpayers uncertain about reporting obligations.
Cryptocurrency
fromnews.bitcoin.com
1 week ago

Prediction Market Boom Continues With Polymarket and Kalshi Leading $25.7B Month

Prediction markets saw $25.7 billion in notional volume in March, with Polymarket and Kalshi leading the activity.
UK politics
fromReadWrite
1 week ago

Gibraltar Licenses First Prediction Markets Operator Amid Gambling Shift

Gibraltar issued its first license to a prediction markets operator, aiming to modernize its digital economy and reduce reliance on traditional gambling revenues.
Poker
fromFortune
1 week ago

Feds sue 3 states for trying to bring Kalshi and Polymarket under more control | Fortune

The federal government is suing Connecticut, Arizona, and Illinois over their regulation of prediction market operators like Kalshi and Polymarket.
US politics
fromwww.npr.org
1 week ago

Trump administration sues three states over attempts to regulate prediction markets

The Trump administration filed lawsuits against three states to assert federal control over prediction markets, challenging state regulations and gambling laws.
#regulation
US politics
fromPOLITICO
2 weeks ago

How prediction markets landed in Congress' crosshairs

Debate centers on regulation and taxation of prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket, with bipartisan interest in addressing insider trading.
US politics
fromPOLITICO
2 weeks ago

How prediction markets landed in Congress' crosshairs

Debate centers on regulation and taxation of prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket, with bipartisan interest in addressing insider trading.
Intellectual property law
fromReadWrite
1 week ago

CFTC lawsuit targets states over prediction markets ban

Federal regulators are suing Arizona, Illinois, and Connecticut to assert authority over event contracts against state regulations labeling them as unlicensed gambling.
Cryptocurrency
fromThe Verge
1 week ago

Fake or real, the "inside traders" on Polymarket are great engagement bait

Conspiracy theories about Netanyahu's replacement by an AI clone led to significant betting activity on prediction markets.
Poker
fromReadWrite
1 week ago

Iowa prediction markets bill taxes trading platforms

Iowa Senate approves regulation and taxation of prediction markets with new rules for event-driven contracts.
fromReadWrite
1 week ago

Kentucky bill expands prediction markets oversight and raises age

House Bill 904, which has cleared the House and is under Senate review, would give the Kentucky Horse Racing and Gaming Corporation expanded control over various forms of wagering, including fantasy sports and prediction markets.
Poker
Poker
fromwww.npr.org
1 week ago

As hoops betting spikes, it's New Hampshire and other states vs. prediction markets

New Hampshire plans to sue prediction market companies to protect state sports betting revenues.
#california
Law
fromwww.businessinsider.com
1 week ago

California's top lawyer explains why he hasn't sued Kalshi like Nevada and Arizona

California's Attorney General emphasizes state sovereignty in regulating prediction markets amid ongoing legal battles across the US.
SF politics
fromnews.bitcoin.com
2 weeks ago

California Governor Bars Policymakers From Insider Betting on Prediction Markets

California extends conflict-of-interest laws to prediction markets, prohibiting appointees from profiting using confidential information.
Law
fromwww.businessinsider.com
1 week ago

California's top lawyer explains why he hasn't sued Kalshi like Nevada and Arizona

California's Attorney General emphasizes state sovereignty in regulating prediction markets amid ongoing legal battles across the US.
SF politics
fromnews.bitcoin.com
2 weeks ago

California Governor Bars Policymakers From Insider Betting on Prediction Markets

California extends conflict-of-interest laws to prediction markets, prohibiting appointees from profiting using confidential information.
Marketing tech
fromwww.theguardian.com
2 weeks ago

Polymarket and other prediction platforms driving oil market, traders say

Online betting platforms like Polymarket are significantly influencing the global oil market through anonymous prediction markets used for multimillion-dollar trades.
Venture
fromFortune
2 weeks ago

Paradigm, a major investor in Kalshi, is building its own prediction markets trading terminal, say sources | Fortune

Paradigm is developing a prediction markets trading terminal to cater to professional traders and market makers.
fromReadWrite
2 weeks ago

Tribal leaders fight federal oversight of sports prediction markets

"Today, our Board took decisive action to protect what generations before us fought to build. These so-called prediction markets are an attempt to bypass tribal authority and recast gambling as a financial product. We will not allow that. We will stand united to defend tribal sovereignty and the integrity of Indian gaming."
Poker
fromwww.businessinsider.com
2 weeks ago

Jamie Dimon says JPMorgan could do prediction markets with big guardrails

It's possible one day we'll do something like that. We're not going to be in sports. We're not going to be in politics. There's a bunch of stuff we won't do.
Media industry
Poker
fromESPN.com
2 weeks ago

NFL asks prediction markets to stop manipulable trading

The NFL requested prediction market operators to avoid trades on easily manipulated events to protect game integrity and prevent unfair allegations.
Poker
fromCard Player
2 weeks ago

US Senators File Bill Banning Most Prediction Market Betting - Poker News

A Utah senator proposed a bill to ban prediction markets resembling sports betting to protect minors and uphold state gaming laws.
US Elections
fromwww.theguardian.com
2 weeks ago

Will Trump bring peace, or more bombs? Shady speculators seem to bet right every time | Nesrine Malik

Suspicious trading patterns in oil markets suggest possible insider knowledge of political announcements, raising concerns about illegal profit-making from political power.
SF politics
fromFuturism
2 weeks ago

Law Seeks to Ban Public Officials From Making Polymarket Bets on Upcoming Bloodshed, Because Apparently We Live in a Complete Dystopia

Efforts are underway in the US to ban public officials from betting on prediction markets using nonpublic information related to military actions.
fromBitcoin Magazine
2 weeks ago

Intercontinental Exchange Announces $600 Million Investment In Polymarket

Intercontinental Exchange has completed a $600 million direct cash investment in prediction market platform Polymarket as part of a broader equity fundraising round. This investment follows ICE's previously disclosed $1 billion commitment made in October 2025, fulfilling its obligations under the investment agreement.
Cryptocurrency
Law
fromReadWrite
2 weeks ago

Detroit amicus brief could shape prediction markets

Detroit is set to challenge sports-related prediction markets in court, becoming the first U.S. city to do so.
Business
fromnews.bitcoin.com
2 weeks ago

Polymarket Secures $600M From Intercontinental Exchange in Final Funding Tranche

ICE is investing up to $2 billion in Polymarket, a prediction market platform, marking its first direct commitment to this sector.
fromnews.bitcoin.com
2 weeks ago

Enlivex Announces $21M Debt Financing and Prediction Markets Treasury Expansion

We are continuing to execute our prediction markets treasury strategy, and we are pleased that Lind provided us with substantial capital, stated Shai Novik, Executive Chairman of Enlivex.
Fundraising
US politics
fromReadWrite
2 weeks ago

New PREDICT Act targets insider prediction market trading

New legislation aims to prevent federal officials from profiting through prediction markets related to political events.
#sports-betting
US Elections
fromReadWrite
2 weeks ago

Prediction markets forum launches at SBC Summit Americas

Prediction markets are gaining prominence in the U.S. gambling industry, raising regulatory and integrity concerns as they evolve.
Poker
fromTechCrunch
3 weeks ago

Bipartisan bill seeks to ban sports betting on Kalshi and Polymarket | TechCrunch

A bipartisan bill aims to restrict prediction market platforms from allowing sports betting and casino-style games, citing legal violations.
Poker
fromReadWrite
3 weeks ago

Senators target sports prediction markets with bipartisan bill

A bipartisan bill aims to outlaw sports-related prediction markets, viewing them as unregulated gambling rather than legitimate financial tools.
US Elections
fromReadWrite
2 weeks ago

Prediction markets forum launches at SBC Summit Americas

Prediction markets are gaining prominence in the U.S. gambling industry, raising regulatory and integrity concerns as they evolve.
Poker
fromTechCrunch
3 weeks ago

Bipartisan bill seeks to ban sports betting on Kalshi and Polymarket | TechCrunch

A bipartisan bill aims to restrict prediction market platforms from allowing sports betting and casino-style games, citing legal violations.
Poker
fromReadWrite
3 weeks ago

Senators target sports prediction markets with bipartisan bill

A bipartisan bill aims to outlaw sports-related prediction markets, viewing them as unregulated gambling rather than legitimate financial tools.
fromwww.theguardian.com
3 weeks ago

Kalshi and Polymarket ban insider trading as senators look to curb prediction markets

Kalshi will ban political candidates from trading on their own campaigns and block anyone involved in college or professional sports from trading contracts related to the sports they play or are employed by.
SF politics
Cryptocurrency
fromnews.bitcoin.com
3 weeks ago

Bitgo, Susquehanna Crypto Open OTC Gateway to Prediction Markets for Institutions

Bitgo Prime and Susquehanna Crypto create an institutional-grade framework for trading event-driven contracts using crypto collateral.
fromReadWrite
3 weeks ago

IGA backs bipartisan Senate bill targeting sports prediction markets

The legislation is about restoring balance between federal oversight and long-standing state and tribal control of gambling. It will reaffirm existing tribal and state government authority to regulate sports betting, limit online gambling, or in some cases - continue to prohibit all forms of gambling.
Poker
Venture
fromTechCrunch
3 weeks ago

Despite bitter rivalry, Kalshi, Polymarket CEOs back $35M predictions markets VC fund | TechCrunch

Polymarket and Kalshi are competing in the prediction market space while investing in a new VC firm, 5(c) Capital, focused on this sector.
[ Load more ]