This week: Anthropic released an update that seems to have tipped the scales against Software as a Service companies, erasing billions in market value. Felix Salmon, Elizabeth Spiers, and Emily Peck, unpack why there was such a massive market response to such a small AI plugin, and what it says about the future of tech investment. Then, Disney has finally named a new CEO in Josh D'Amaro.
They describe this as being part of their mission of giving back to the city they call home. After months of planning, we're excited to announce 'The Polymarket' is coming to New York City. New York's first free grocery store. We signed the lease. And we donated $1 million to Food Bank For NYC - an organization that changes how our city responds to hunger. 🧵 pic.twitter.com/BGMCWUMz8n - Polymarket (@Polymarket) February 3, 2026
At leading prediction market Kalshi, more than $47 million has been staked this season on what are known as NFL announcer mention markets, where users trade on the probability of what the play-by-play broadcaster or color analyst will -- or will not -- say during games. Since September, the average amount risked on NFL announcer mention markets has grown more than seven times, from less than half a million per game at the start of the season to $3.55 million on the AFC and NFC championship games
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Time Magazine revealed its Person of the Year for 2025. It wasn't one person, but many different people who are all at the helm of pushing AI technology. This has caused some prediction market gamblers who had bet on AI itself earning the distinction to start yelling a lot online. It's very funny, but also a horrible glimpse at our bet-on-everything future.
Kalshi and Polymarket maintain their platforms offer "event contracts" between private parties that should be regulated like commodities rather than traditional gambling subject to state oversight; an argument that has received pushback from government officials, NBC Chicago said. Companies like Kalshi and Polymarket should "package sports betting as events contracts" to circumvent established gaming regulations, state attorneys general claimed in a lawsuit in June.
The Axios report continued: The collaboration marks the first major news partnership for Kalshi, as it looks to establish itself as the most authoritative source of information about the real-time probabilities of major cultural and political future events, CEO and co-founder Tarek Mansour tells Axios. As part of the deal, Kalshi prediction data will be featured on-air as a real-time data ticker. There will also be prediction market content related to politics, news, culture and weather,