"These ETFs track prediction market prices from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi. If the market assigns 60% odds to Republicans winning the presidency, the Republican ETF trades at roughly $0.60. Prices fluctuate as debates happen and polls shift, ultimately resolving to $1.00 or $0.00 based on the actual outcome. Retail investors can now access political prediction markets through a standard brokerage account, without navigating crypto wallets or decentralized platforms."
"GraniteShares and Bitwise have also filed for similar political prediction market products. When multiple asset managers simultaneously file for the same novel product category, it's pretty clear we're about to see a flood. We saw hundreds of leveraged ETFs spring up in 2024 and 2025, giving investors ways to bet on popular stocks such as the GraniteShares 2X Long NVDA Daily ETF (Nasdaq: NVDL)."
Roundhill Investments filed prospectuses for ETFs that track prediction-market outcomes for the 2028 presidential election and congressional control. The proposed ETFs mirror prices on platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi, so share prices reflect the market-assigned probability of an outcome and resolve to $1.00 or $0.00 after results. Retail investors can buy these products through standard brokerage accounts without crypto wallets or decentralized platforms. Polymarket already shows meaningful liquidity and volume, and competitors GraniteShares and Bitwise have filed similar products. The simultaneous filings suggest a likely influx of politically focused ETFs, following earlier booms in leveraged ETF launches.
Read at 24/7 Wall St.
Unable to calculate read time
Collection
[
|
...
]