#inflation

#inflation

In recent years, residual seasonality, along with delayed price adjustments in response to pandemic-era shocks, have led to upside CPI surprises in January, he told USA Today. These were no longer on full display this time around, further reinforcing our view (that) tariff-induced price increases on the goods side are largely behind us. But we aren't changing the baseline forecast for monetary policy based on one inflation reading.

Market volatility is high, with the VIX index up 5% in today's session. The latest inflation data came in better than expected, offering what should become relief for markets. Consumer prices rose 2.4% year over year last month, a cooler reading that brings inflation back toward levels last seen in mid-2025. As the gauge edges closer to the Federal Reserve's 2% target, expectations for an eventual rate cut are likely to gain momentum, even as this week's labor market data reflected strength.

They pointed to weak oil revenue, which crashed by 50% in January from a year earlier, and a budget deficit that continues to widen, even after Putin hiked taxes on consumers. A Moscow business executive also told the Post that the crisis could arrive in "three or four months" amid spiraling inflation, adding that restaurants have been closing and thousands of workers are getting laid off.

It's really hard for most Americans to remember what they put in their shopping cart," Wells Fargo agricultural economist Michael Swanson told Fortune. "And so that checkout receipt is always kind of a random surprise for them, depending on what's in it. So, I think they'll have to think about it before they're happy about it.

The U.S. dollar's value has fallen 8% over the past year, as the price of gold has skyrocketed, said the WSJ Dollar Index. Some think it is a good thing. President Donald Trump said recently a weaker dollar is great. The idea is a weaker currency boosts exports and employment while a strong currency can throttle an economy. While the idea of a weaker dollar has had supporters over the decades, economists often argue gains can be eaten up by domestic inflation and deflation.

The European Central Bank (ECB) held its key interest rates unchanged following the February meeting of the Governing Council, in line with Cebr projections. This marks the fifth consecutive hold, despite a below-target inflation reading of 1.7% in January, the lowest level since 2021. The decision to hold rates also comes despite a recent Euro rally against the dollar, which is expected to add disinflationary pressure through cheaper imports and weigh on growth by making the bloc's exports more expensive.

"softening,"

Higher-income Americans and those with college degrees have ramped up their spending more quickly in the past three years than other consumers, according to new data released Tuesday, evidence of worsening inequality that may explain some of the growing pessimism about the economy. The data, released by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, also show that in the final three months of last year, lower-income and rural households faced higher inflation than higher-income households.

From 2020 to 2024, consumer prices for things like housing, groceries, energy, and everyday essentials climbed 21%, as measured by the consumer price index. During that same period, the average American worker's pay rose 18%, from about $64,000 to $75,600, according to figures from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

If something sounds too good to be true, a realist would suggest that's because it might be. When President Trump promised on the campaign trail to "end inflation," it might have been one of those moments. Economists may have been surprised by the campaign pledge because low, stable inflation is a symptom of a healthy economy. When consumers can expect relative price rises, they can plan their spending and saving accordingly, while businesses can also reasonably budget for increased costs.

Bitcoin hovered near $89,000 on Wednesday as the Federal Reserve opted to hold interest rates steady, pausing its rate-cutting cycle and striking a notably calmer tone on inflation and the labor market. The bitcoin price traded above $90,000 earlier in the session before slipping to around $89,500 as Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell spoke at his post-meeting press conference. The move came after the Fed announced it would keep its benchmark federal funds rate unchanged at a range of 3.5% to 3.75%,

Residents in Minnesota spend $579 a month on average for groceries, according to the study. The data also reflects local wages and shows that residents of Minnesota pay the lowest percentage of their overall spending on groceries at 6.4%. The lowest grocery bills were in West Virginia, averaging $505 a month, however lower wages mean West Virginians spent 8.7% of their money on groceries overall.

First, she said that $2 million isn't nearly enough to retire early on. She then went on to say that it might take a good $5 to $10 million to retire early without financial worries. Yep, you read that correctly. Are you shocked? Well, maybe you shouldn't be. In the past few years, we've seen inflation drive living costs up dramatically. And it's hard to predict how much havoc inflation will continue to wreak.

Markets were closed on Monday for Martin Luther King Jr. Day, compressing the week's activity into four sessions. Early in the week, stocks fell sharply after renewed concerns about a potential global trade conflict. Investor sentiment weakened following comments from President Donald Trump about imposing tariffs on certain European nations in connection with negotiations over Greenland. However, midweek optimism returned when the president signalled a softer stance and postponed the planned tariffs.

Trump opened the briefing with a lengthy, rambling weave that included attacking Don Lemon, raging about migrants, riffing on the killing of Renee Good, and narrowly escaping the clutches of a nasty binder clip. He spoke for almost an hour-and-a-half before finally taking questions. The presser encompassed several editions of CNN News Central, during which anchors tossed to Dale no less than three times as he racked up a tally of over 17 falsehoods: