#economic-outlook

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Tax boost offers government a ray of hope amid budget backlash - London Business News | Londonlovesbusiness.com

UK tax receipts show a £24 billion increase year-on-year, providing optimism post-budget chaos.
Income tax is anticipated to rise due to Labour's national living wage commitment.
#goldman-sachs

Things are looking up for Wall Street, and Goldman's third-quarter results show why

Goldman Sachs reported a 45% increase in profits, highlighting a resurgence in dealmaking.

Goldman Sachs tells investors Trump's tariffs pose a major 'event risk' and to expect slower growth in 2025

Goldman Sachs predicts a slowdown in S&P 500 growth in 2025 but recognizes a promising economic outlook with inherent market risks.

Things are looking up for Wall Street, and Goldman's third-quarter results show why

Goldman Sachs reported a 45% increase in profits, highlighting a resurgence in dealmaking.

Goldman Sachs tells investors Trump's tariffs pose a major 'event risk' and to expect slower growth in 2025

Goldman Sachs predicts a slowdown in S&P 500 growth in 2025 but recognizes a promising economic outlook with inherent market risks.
moregoldman-sachs
#housing-market

Inflation hasn't been defeated yet because the housing crisis could bring it back

Despite rate hikes curbing inflation, the housing market faces ongoing affordability challenges and rising prices due to tight inventory.

Lower mortgage rates won't solve homebuilders' problems

Homebuilder confidence is rising due to cooling inflation and a steady job market, despite ongoing affordability challenges impacting consumers.

Inflation Ticked Up 2.6% in October as Housing Costs Rise

Inflation rose to 2.6% in October, driven mainly by increasing housing costs, complicating the Federal Reserve's approach to monetary policy.

Mortgage Rates Rise to 6.44%, Yet 'Buyers May Be Feeling Ready To Act'

Mortgage rates rose to 6.44%, reflecting economic strength, but remain lower than last year, providing benefits for homebuyers who shop around.

Is home construction entering a slowdown?

The single-family home construction industry is experiencing a potential slowdown, indicated by a decrease in building permits and starts.

New Home Construction Flat in October as Builder Confidence Improves

Builder confidence in new home construction increased in November despite mixed results in construction and permits in October.

Inflation hasn't been defeated yet because the housing crisis could bring it back

Despite rate hikes curbing inflation, the housing market faces ongoing affordability challenges and rising prices due to tight inventory.

Lower mortgage rates won't solve homebuilders' problems

Homebuilder confidence is rising due to cooling inflation and a steady job market, despite ongoing affordability challenges impacting consumers.

Inflation Ticked Up 2.6% in October as Housing Costs Rise

Inflation rose to 2.6% in October, driven mainly by increasing housing costs, complicating the Federal Reserve's approach to monetary policy.

Mortgage Rates Rise to 6.44%, Yet 'Buyers May Be Feeling Ready To Act'

Mortgage rates rose to 6.44%, reflecting economic strength, but remain lower than last year, providing benefits for homebuyers who shop around.

Is home construction entering a slowdown?

The single-family home construction industry is experiencing a potential slowdown, indicated by a decrease in building permits and starts.

New Home Construction Flat in October as Builder Confidence Improves

Builder confidence in new home construction increased in November despite mixed results in construction and permits in October.
morehousing-market
#interest-rates

Fed cuts interest rates by 25 bps, but Trump's victory sows doubts on future moves

The Federal Reserve's 25 basis point rate cut post-Trump's election reflects mixed economic signals amid ongoing inflationary challenges.
The outlook for future rate adjustments is cautious given potential government spending increases.

US Fed cuts rates by larger than usual half-percentage point

The Federal Reserve has cut interest rates and anticipates further reductions, acknowledging progress on inflation and the balance of economic risks.

Can the Stock Market Keep Going Up? Market Watchers Think So.

The stock market is optimistic following recent Fed rate cuts, which are expected to enhance corporate profits and reduce recession fears.

Why are stocks down after a mega rate cut? Here's what the experts think

The Federal Reserve's 50 basis points rate cut was insufficient to boost stocks, as long-term rate outlooks disappointed investors.

What's behind the shocking, sudden rise in interest rates over the past 2 weeks?

Trump's victory has driven stock prices up, but rising interest rates pose significant risks to future stock market growth.

Fed cuts interest rates by a half point-the first time since 2020

The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by half a percentage point, initiating a process of steady monetary policy easing due to job market concerns.

Fed cuts interest rates by 25 bps, but Trump's victory sows doubts on future moves

The Federal Reserve's 25 basis point rate cut post-Trump's election reflects mixed economic signals amid ongoing inflationary challenges.
The outlook for future rate adjustments is cautious given potential government spending increases.

US Fed cuts rates by larger than usual half-percentage point

The Federal Reserve has cut interest rates and anticipates further reductions, acknowledging progress on inflation and the balance of economic risks.

Can the Stock Market Keep Going Up? Market Watchers Think So.

The stock market is optimistic following recent Fed rate cuts, which are expected to enhance corporate profits and reduce recession fears.

Why are stocks down after a mega rate cut? Here's what the experts think

The Federal Reserve's 50 basis points rate cut was insufficient to boost stocks, as long-term rate outlooks disappointed investors.

What's behind the shocking, sudden rise in interest rates over the past 2 weeks?

Trump's victory has driven stock prices up, but rising interest rates pose significant risks to future stock market growth.

Fed cuts interest rates by a half point-the first time since 2020

The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by half a percentage point, initiating a process of steady monetary policy easing due to job market concerns.
moreinterest-rates
#hiring-trends

73% of AI pros are looking to change jobs over the next year

Tech professionals exhibit short-term pessimism but maintain long-term optimism for growth in the tech job market, particularly within AI sectors.

Is AI sabotaging the 'September Surge' in hiring this year?

The September Surge is impacted by economic trends, AI influence on applicant numbers, and the uncertain political climate affecting hiring strategies.

Global job recruitment is up in these 3 sectors

Major global companies are increasing hiring in professional roles, especially in retail, technology, and healthcare, as demand in financial services remains low.

73% of AI pros are looking to change jobs over the next year

Tech professionals exhibit short-term pessimism but maintain long-term optimism for growth in the tech job market, particularly within AI sectors.

Is AI sabotaging the 'September Surge' in hiring this year?

The September Surge is impacted by economic trends, AI influence on applicant numbers, and the uncertain political climate affecting hiring strategies.

Global job recruitment is up in these 3 sectors

Major global companies are increasing hiring in professional roles, especially in retail, technology, and healthcare, as demand in financial services remains low.
morehiring-trends
#federal-reserve

US job creation unexpectedly accelerates in September

The U.S. economy is experiencing unexpected job growth, reinforcing optimism ahead of the presidential election.

Fed rate cut brings more mortgage biz to JPMorgan, Wells Fargo. But is it sustainable?

Mortgage lending increased for JPMorgan and Wells Fargo due to recent rate cuts, but future stability remains uncertain.

Stock market today: Markets come down from China stimulus highs

China's stimulus announcement initially uplifted markets, but optimism faded as investors questioned its effectiveness, resulting in lower U.S. market closings.

Gold prices below $2,700 amidst strong dollar and Fed decision - London Business News | Londonlovesbusiness.com

Gold faces challenges maintaining its haven status due to a strong U.S. dollar driven by economic optimism.
Market optimism and reduced political risks shift investors from gold to the dollar.
Geopolitical tensions have not significantly bolstered gold investment interest.

Strong dollar keeps adding pressure to Latin America currency stability - London Business News | Londonlovesbusiness.com

The U.S. dollar's strength is influenced by stable Treasury yields and a positive economic outlook, impacting Latin America's economies negatively.

Five keys to understand the Fed's aggressive interest rate cut

The U.S. Federal Reserve initiates interest rate cuts, balancing inflation control with employment stability, as part of a strategic monetary policy shift.

US job creation unexpectedly accelerates in September

The U.S. economy is experiencing unexpected job growth, reinforcing optimism ahead of the presidential election.

Fed rate cut brings more mortgage biz to JPMorgan, Wells Fargo. But is it sustainable?

Mortgage lending increased for JPMorgan and Wells Fargo due to recent rate cuts, but future stability remains uncertain.

Stock market today: Markets come down from China stimulus highs

China's stimulus announcement initially uplifted markets, but optimism faded as investors questioned its effectiveness, resulting in lower U.S. market closings.

Gold prices below $2,700 amidst strong dollar and Fed decision - London Business News | Londonlovesbusiness.com

Gold faces challenges maintaining its haven status due to a strong U.S. dollar driven by economic optimism.
Market optimism and reduced political risks shift investors from gold to the dollar.
Geopolitical tensions have not significantly bolstered gold investment interest.

Strong dollar keeps adding pressure to Latin America currency stability - London Business News | Londonlovesbusiness.com

The U.S. dollar's strength is influenced by stable Treasury yields and a positive economic outlook, impacting Latin America's economies negatively.

Five keys to understand the Fed's aggressive interest rate cut

The U.S. Federal Reserve initiates interest rate cuts, balancing inflation control with employment stability, as part of a strategic monetary policy shift.
morefederal-reserve
#consumer-confidence

Consumer confidence plummets as Labour warned over recession fears

Consumer confidence has declined significantly, driven by apprehensions about economic policy and potential tax increases, raising recession fears in Britain.

California confidence rebounds to 19-month high vs. big US dip

California's consumer confidence surged 25% in September, contrasting sharply with a declining national outlook.
'Expectations' measurement shows significant optimism among Californians, reaching a 30-month high.

UK consumer confidence hit by budget gloom; Elon Musk not invited to UK investment summit' business live

UK consumer confidence has deteriorated amidst fears of tax rises in the upcoming budget.

Tax rises in budget sap UK consumer confidence and will hit pay growth, say reports

Tax rises in the budget have diminished consumer confidence and could lead to reduced growth in private sector pay next year.

Uncertainty over tax rises impacting consumer spending, warns Sainsbury's boss

Consumer uncertainty about potential tax increases is curbing significant purchases, especially on non-essentials.
Clarity in fiscal policies is essential for restoring consumer confidence according to Sainsbury's CEO.

61% of Californians expect bad times for the economy

California consumers show optimistic sentiment, but polls reveal a strong expectation of bad financial times ahead, indicating a public opinion gap.

Consumer confidence plummets as Labour warned over recession fears

Consumer confidence has declined significantly, driven by apprehensions about economic policy and potential tax increases, raising recession fears in Britain.

California confidence rebounds to 19-month high vs. big US dip

California's consumer confidence surged 25% in September, contrasting sharply with a declining national outlook.
'Expectations' measurement shows significant optimism among Californians, reaching a 30-month high.

UK consumer confidence hit by budget gloom; Elon Musk not invited to UK investment summit' business live

UK consumer confidence has deteriorated amidst fears of tax rises in the upcoming budget.

Tax rises in budget sap UK consumer confidence and will hit pay growth, say reports

Tax rises in the budget have diminished consumer confidence and could lead to reduced growth in private sector pay next year.

Uncertainty over tax rises impacting consumer spending, warns Sainsbury's boss

Consumer uncertainty about potential tax increases is curbing significant purchases, especially on non-essentials.
Clarity in fiscal policies is essential for restoring consumer confidence according to Sainsbury's CEO.

61% of Californians expect bad times for the economy

California consumers show optimistic sentiment, but polls reveal a strong expectation of bad financial times ahead, indicating a public opinion gap.
moreconsumer-confidence
#marketing-strategies

'Merry and bright': How marketers are evolving for ambitious holiday shoppers

Consumers are expected to spend significantly during the 2024 holiday season, driven by economic optimism and a shift in marketing strategies.

'Merry and bright': How marketers are evolving for ambitious holiday shoppers

Consumers are optimistic about holiday spending for 2024, with predictions of increased budgets and average spending.
Marketers face challenges adapting to changing shopper behaviors while aiming to capture consumer attention during the holiday season.

'Merry and bright': How marketers are evolving for ambitious holiday shoppers

Consumers are expected to spend significantly during the 2024 holiday season, driven by economic optimism and a shift in marketing strategies.

'Merry and bright': How marketers are evolving for ambitious holiday shoppers

Consumers are optimistic about holiday spending for 2024, with predictions of increased budgets and average spending.
Marketers face challenges adapting to changing shopper behaviors while aiming to capture consumer attention during the holiday season.
moremarketing-strategies
from Fortune
6 days ago

Here's what the top business leaders are saying about AI: 'You need to be prepared for anything'

AI's impact on jobs is a critical and ongoing debate among business leaders.

Gen Z is carrying more credit card debt than any other generation

Generational mobility remains intact in the US, with optimism about economic prospects despite significant debt burdens, especially within Gen Z.

Republicans and Democrats Highly Divided in Economic Outlook Under Trump

Republican consumer sentiment has surged post-election while Democratic sentiment has declined, illustrating a deep partisan divide in economic outlook.

Stocks rotate as catalysts lacking - London Business News | Londonlovesbusiness.com

The market showed steady performance with a focus on value stocks and expectations for potential economic growth from tax cuts.

Rise in the cost of wine and cigarettes as inflation rate steady at 0.7pc

Consumer prices rose by 0.7% in October year-over-year, driven by significant increases in insurance premiums and essential goods.
#political-uncertainty

The future of the dollar index amid electoral volatility and Fed decisions - London Business News

The U.S. Dollar Index is declining amidst political tensions related to the presidential election.

Market thoughts: A bumper fortnight awaits - London Business News | Londonlovesbusiness.com

Financial markets are bracing for an eventful fortnight with political uncertainties and geopolitical tensions affecting stocks and currencies.

The future of the dollar index amid electoral volatility and Fed decisions - London Business News

The U.S. Dollar Index is declining amidst political tensions related to the presidential election.

Market thoughts: A bumper fortnight awaits - London Business News | Londonlovesbusiness.com

Financial markets are bracing for an eventful fortnight with political uncertainties and geopolitical tensions affecting stocks and currencies.
morepolitical-uncertainty
#investment-strategies

Wall Street No Longer Looks Confident About a Trump Win

Wall Street is adopting a more cautious approach amid the election, reflecting long-term investment strategies over short-term market reactions.

Goldman Sachs Top Analysts Love 5 Buy-Rated High-Yield Dividend Stocks

High-yield dividend stocks are increasingly attractive as declining interest rates create opportunities for passive income.

Gold continues to rise - London Business News | Londonlovesbusiness.com

Gold remains attractive as a store of value, despite recent volatility amid market uncertainties.

Wall Street No Longer Looks Confident About a Trump Win

Wall Street is adopting a more cautious approach amid the election, reflecting long-term investment strategies over short-term market reactions.

Goldman Sachs Top Analysts Love 5 Buy-Rated High-Yield Dividend Stocks

High-yield dividend stocks are increasingly attractive as declining interest rates create opportunities for passive income.

Gold continues to rise - London Business News | Londonlovesbusiness.com

Gold remains attractive as a store of value, despite recent volatility amid market uncertainties.
moreinvestment-strategies

More Than Half of Gen-Z and Millennials Expect Social Security Benefits to Cover Their Basic Retirement Needs

Younger generations are overly optimistic about Social Security as their primary retirement income source, unlike older generations who are more skeptical.
#market-trends

Gold continues to hit all time highs - London Business News | Londonlovesbusiness.com

Gold prices are surging due to real demand, driven by economic uncertainty and fears over future Fed rate hikes, with $2,700 anticipated by October.

Is gold safer than U.S. Treasury bonds as federal debt keeps soaring?

Gold may replace U.S. Treasuries as the new safe investment amid increasing government debt and changing market dynamics.

Shimano's sales are down again: Another post-pandemic slump or signs of a bigger issue?

Shimano's bicycle component sales fell 12%, but they remain optimistic about the global economic recovery.
Despite decreased sales, long-term trends show stabilization and modest growth post-pandemic.

3 Refining & Marketing Stocks to Watch Amid a Challenging Environment

Fuel margins in the oil refining industry are declining, affected by inflation and increased costs, but robust demand may offer some stability.

Gold continues to hit all time highs - London Business News | Londonlovesbusiness.com

Gold prices are surging due to real demand, driven by economic uncertainty and fears over future Fed rate hikes, with $2,700 anticipated by October.

Is gold safer than U.S. Treasury bonds as federal debt keeps soaring?

Gold may replace U.S. Treasuries as the new safe investment amid increasing government debt and changing market dynamics.

Shimano's sales are down again: Another post-pandemic slump or signs of a bigger issue?

Shimano's bicycle component sales fell 12%, but they remain optimistic about the global economic recovery.
Despite decreased sales, long-term trends show stabilization and modest growth post-pandemic.

3 Refining & Marketing Stocks to Watch Amid a Challenging Environment

Fuel margins in the oil refining industry are declining, affected by inflation and increased costs, but robust demand may offer some stability.
moremarket-trends
#stock-market

You're going to get richer under either Harris or Trump, new survey estimates

Investors anticipate different asset class performances under Harris and Trump, but overall wealth rises under both presidencies.

Market thoughts: Tuesday giveth what Monday taketh away - London Business News | Londonlovesbusiness.com

Market volatility is high, driven by crude oil price drops and geopolitical uncertainty.

Market thoughts: An ASML-shaped bolt from the blue - London Business News | Londonlovesbusiness.com

ASML's poor earnings and Nvidia's chip export concerns negatively impacted stock prices, causing a market decline amidst otherwise strong corporate performance.

You're going to get richer under either Harris or Trump, new survey estimates

Investors anticipate different asset class performances under Harris and Trump, but overall wealth rises under both presidencies.

Market thoughts: Tuesday giveth what Monday taketh away - London Business News | Londonlovesbusiness.com

Market volatility is high, driven by crude oil price drops and geopolitical uncertainty.

Market thoughts: An ASML-shaped bolt from the blue - London Business News | Londonlovesbusiness.com

ASML's poor earnings and Nvidia's chip export concerns negatively impacted stock prices, causing a market decline amidst otherwise strong corporate performance.
morestock-market

Dollar rebound eases amid manufacturing concerns and upcoming key data - London Business News | Londonlovesbusiness.com

The U.S. dollar's stability is uncertain due to concerns over the manufacturing sector and potential declines in Durable Goods data.
#financial-markets

Investors fear repeat of Truss era market chaos as UK Budget looms - London Business News | Londonlovesbusiness.com

Concerns rise over the upcoming UK Budget's potential to disrupt markets, reminiscent of the turmoil following Liz Truss's mini-budget.

Market thoughts: Choppy trade continues - London Business News | Londonlovesbusiness.com

Choppy trade continues as eurozone economy shows contraction; UK fiscal changes may enable increased borrowing for infrastructure.

Investors fear repeat of Truss era market chaos as UK Budget looms - London Business News | Londonlovesbusiness.com

Concerns rise over the upcoming UK Budget's potential to disrupt markets, reminiscent of the turmoil following Liz Truss's mini-budget.

Market thoughts: Choppy trade continues - London Business News | Londonlovesbusiness.com

Choppy trade continues as eurozone economy shows contraction; UK fiscal changes may enable increased borrowing for infrastructure.
morefinancial-markets

Biglaw Lobbying Practices Bracing For Change In White House

Change in the White House will significantly influence lobbying strategies regardless of the election outcome.

Interpublic Reports 2.9% Revenue Drop in Q3

IPG's revenue declined in Q3, with organic growth remaining flat compared to competitors' strong growth rates.

Taxpayers will get higher standard deductions in 2025: IRS

Higher standard deductions for 2025 will allow U.S. taxpayers to shield more income from taxation, reflecting inflation adjustments.

Oil futures decline amid easing geopolitical risks ease and weak Chinese demand - London Business News | Londonlovesbusiness.com

Geopolitical stabilization and weak demand from China are pressuring oil prices.
Diplomatic efforts may help lower oil prices amid ongoing market concerns.

One-third of UK businesses urge government to cut Brexit red tape

Businesses are increasingly optimistic but urge the UK government to reduce post-Brexit trade regulations to facilitate growth.

'We are still winning': Publicis ups guidance thanks to major media account gains

Publicis increases 2024 growth guidance to 5.5% amid economic uncertainties, backed by strong Q3 performance and new business wins.

Oil prices fall amid easing geopolitical tensions - London Business News | Londonlovesbusiness.com

Oil prices are declining due to weakening demand and easing geopolitical tensions.
China's weak domestic demand and OPEC's downgraded forecasts are influencing market dynamics.

In search of a geopolitics of hope

The World in Progress forum aims to address global challenges through collaborative dialogue among intellectuals, politicians, and entrepreneurs.

Looking Ahead To 2025: Reining In Partners' Compensation Expectations

Managing partners may express optimism for 2025 but are approaching budgets conservatively.

House prices are rising across the UK for the first time in two years

House prices in the UK are showing initial signs of recovery after two years of decline, with increasing demand and sales.

Germany's prolonged recession makes firms takeover targets DW 10/09/2024

The German economy is projected to face another year of recession with a GDP expected to shrink by 0.2% in 2024.

Oasis ticket sales push UK non-essential spending to highest level this year

Oasis reunion tour ticket sales significantly increased British consumer non-essential spending in September.

A week is a long time for markets - London Business News | Londonlovesbusiness.com

The recent US labour market report underscored US economic exceptionalism and influenced market sentiment, with strong job numbers fueling confidence in the economy.
from Fortune
1 month ago

S&P 500's $8 trillion rally will be tested by tricky earnings season

Investors are closely monitoring corporate earnings this week amidst heightened economic uncertainty and a notable stock market rally.
#fiscal-policy

UK business confidence dips to lowest level since general election

UK business confidence has fallen to its lowest level since the general election, reflecting a growing pessimism about the economic outlook.

A focus on growth, rates and debt ahead of the October Budget - London Business News | Londonlovesbusiness.com

The upcoming Budget is expected to be tough due to high UK debt levels and pressure to maintain fiscal solvency.

Volatility ahead for Mexican equities - London Business News | Londonlovesbusiness.com

Claudia Sheinbaum's inauguration presents both opportunities and challenges for Mexican markets, hinging on her fiscal policies and external U.S. relations.

UK business confidence dips to lowest level since general election

UK business confidence has fallen to its lowest level since the general election, reflecting a growing pessimism about the economic outlook.

A focus on growth, rates and debt ahead of the October Budget - London Business News | Londonlovesbusiness.com

The upcoming Budget is expected to be tough due to high UK debt levels and pressure to maintain fiscal solvency.

Volatility ahead for Mexican equities - London Business News | Londonlovesbusiness.com

Claudia Sheinbaum's inauguration presents both opportunities and challenges for Mexican markets, hinging on her fiscal policies and external U.S. relations.
morefiscal-policy

Crypto Winter-Era Seed Startups Mostly Persist Despite Tumult and Crisis

Despite significant turmoil in the crypto industry, over 80% of startups that raised seed rounds in 2022 are still operational.

Why Business Support for Harris-Walz Is Growing

CEOs demonstrate strong support for Kamala Harris, forecasting her victory with 80% confidence, marking a notable shift in political expectations among business leaders.

Shippers race for workarounds ahead of the U.S. port strike deadline

U.S. companies are proactively adjusting supply chains to mitigate strike risks at key East and Gulf Coast seaports due to stalled contract negotiations.

Confidence in Labour hits rock bottom as businesses are bracing for 'significant' tax rises - London Business News | Londonlovesbusiness.com

Business leaders expect tax increases, affecting confidence and growth.
Family businesses feel unfavourable towards government tax policies post-election. They anticipate unintended consequences from tax changes.

BofA details clients' 5 major economic fears-then knocks them all down

Bank of America economists believe there is no imminent economic recession despite some concerns and a projected 'bumpier landing' for the economy.

Why Top CEOs Tell Us They Are Optimistic About the U.S. Economy

CEOs are broadly optimistic about the economy, with 84% predicting a soft landing and strong GDP growth.

Disastrous eurozone PMI figures affect ECB cuts expectations - London Business News | Londonlovesbusiness.com

The eurozone's PMI data suggests a significant economic downturn, increasing the chances of further ECB rate cuts.

Small Business Owners Lose 7 Hours of Sleep Per Week | Entrepreneur

Small business owners are experiencing high levels of stress, primarily over financial issues, affecting their sleep and overall well-being.

CEOs signal hiring pullback as U.S. job market slows

CEO confidence has fallen, indicating caution amid economic uncertainty, particularly in hiring plans.
Most CEOs still show a willingness to invest despite concerns about slower sales and economic conditions.
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