#2026-midterms

#2026-midterms

The year 2026 is sure to bring another round of big political battles and shifts in leadership ahead of what's expected to be a hotly contested midterm election season. Needless to say, it's going to be a busy year. That's right. We'll have several competitive and already expensive races throughout California that will impact not only the future of our state, but the balance of power in Congress.

The poll from FabrizioWard found the national general Congressional ballot currently favors Democrats by a seven-point margin. FabrizioWard is the strategy and consulting firm led by Tony Fabrizio and Bob Ward; Fabrizio is a veteran Republican strategist who served as Trump's chief pollster in 2016, 2020, and 2024. The firm's latest figures were released last week on December 18. It was based on 1,000 registered voters across the U.S.

Midterms are coming around the corner and make no mistake, the Democrat Party wants to do whatever they possibly can to shut this movement down. Not just the Democrats. The RINOs. You see the manufactured attacks on JD [Vance], myself, my father anyone who understands that this isn't the Republican Party anymore. It's the America First Party. It's the Make America Great Again Party. And we are not going back!

Ken Martin, a Minnesota party leader who was elected national chair after Trump's election, ordered a thorough review of what went wrong and what could be done differently, with the intent they would circulate a report as Republicans did after their 2012 election performance. Martin now says the inquiry, which included hundreds of interviews, was complete but that there is no value in a public release of findings that he believes could lead to continued infighting and recriminations before the 2026 midterms when control of Congress will be at stake.

I think it's going to be a really steep climb, Dasha, said Short, in relation to GOP midterm efforts. The reality is that Americans like divided government. They don't want one party in control. Each time there's been one party in control, there's been a backlash. The once chief of staff to former Vice President Mike Pence noted that in previous midterms, the incumbent party is much more vulnerable to losing Congressional seats.

If Republicans are trying to do a solve,' what they should probably do is boost ACA subsidies for another couple years, but include a bunch of riders that transition it out and make room for larger HSAs. In other words, provide people some sort of glide path toward a new future, as opposed to a hard stop. Hard stops in American politics typically create massive political blowback, and 2026 looks like it's going to be pretty ugly for Republicans, anyway.

After all, Trump had just forced the Texas legislature to conduct a mid-decade gerrymander of U.S. House seats in order to boost the GOP's hopes of hanging onto the chamber in the 2026 midterms. Yet here was Trump taking away one of their main talking points (Cuellar's 2024 federal indictment for allegedly working with his wife on a long-term scheme to take bribes from the government of Azerbaijan and a Mexican bank) against one of their main 2026 targets.

Texas can use its new, GOP-friendly congressional map while a legal challenge plays out, the U.S. Supreme Court ruled, temporarily pausing a lower court ruling that had blocked the map from going into effect. With the Dec. 8 candidate filing deadline fast approaching, the high court's decision likely means Texas' new map will be used for the 2026 midterm elections.

Polls show the Democratic candidate within striking distance of her Republican rival in a district Trump carried by 22 points in 2024. An unexpectedly tight special election is unfolding in Tennessee, where Democrats in the United States are hoping to flip the reliably conservative 7th congressional district. On Tuesday, voters in the southern state headed to the polls on Tuesday to select a successor for Republican Representative Mark Green, who resigned in July to pursue a career in the private sector.

She's almost like a canary in a coal mine. And this is something inside Congress they better wake up, because they're going to get a lot of people retiring, and they've got to focus, McCarthy said.

You know, this is a poll that came out yesterday, a Marquette University Law School poll, and I don't think it picked up enough coverage that it should have, because these numbers should be truly frightening to Republicans. Why do I point it out? Why do I say that? Okay, Dems versus Republicans on the generic congressional ballot. If you look at all voters, this matches the average. You see Democrats up by five points.

The survey of 1,443 adults, conducted from Nov. 10-13 found: Democrats holding their largest advantage, 14 points, on the question of who respondents would vote for if the midterm elections were held today; President Trump's approval rating is just 39%, his lowest since right after the Jan. 6, 2021 attack on the Capitol; A combined 6-in-10 blame congressional Republicans or Trump for the government shutdown; and Nearly 6-in-10 say Trump's top priority should be lowering prices and no other issue comes close.

A panel of federal judges has ruled that Texas's newly redrawn congressional districts cannot be used in next year's 2026 midterm elections, striking a blow to Republican efforts to tilt races in their favour. On Tuesday, a two-to-one majority at the US District Court for western Texas blocked the map, on the basis that there was substantial evidence to show that Texas racially gerrymandered the districts.

I would say that I've thought about what that moment might look like after the midterm elections, sure. But I also, whenever I think about that, I try to put it out of my head and remind myself the American people elected me to do a job right now and my job is to do it. And if you start getting distracted and focused on what comes next, I think it actually makes you worse at the job you have.

If we lose the midterms, if we lose 2028, some in this room are going to prison myself included. They're not gonna stop. They are getting more and more and more radical. And we have to counter that. And what do we have to counter it with? We have to count it with more action, more intense action, more urgency. We're burning daylight.

We broke down what the returns mean heading into the 2026 midterm elections, where Democrats currently hold an 8 percentage point advantage over Republicans in the latest NBC News poll, and what they say about President Donald Trump's second-term agenda.

With the election yesterday of Millennial Zohran Mamdani as New York City's mayor, generational change in Democratic Party politics has shifted more firmly away from Boomers. ( source) With the youngest Boomers in their mid-60s, it's time - not to mention other reasons like a lifetime of baggage impeding effective governance. This is an open thread with an emphasis on state and local elections.

Many of them are people I have known to be cautious, sober, and not prone to hyperbole. Yet they used words like nightmare and warned that Americans need to be ready for 'really wild stuff.' They described a system under attack and reaching a breaking point. They enumerated a long list of concerns about next year's midterms, but they largely declined to make predictions about the 2028 presidential election.

Even though there's only one issue on your upcoming November 4 ballot, Trump's Justice Department is calling out the cavalry of so-called election monitors to spy on polling places, perhaps as a warm-up for the 2026 midterms.

For much of the past decade, Republican politics in the increasingly crucial swing state of Georgia has been dominated by two men whose relationship has been complex and fascinating: Donald Trump and Brian Kemp. Both the two-term president and the two-term governor are lame ducks who still dominate their domains like no one else. And their collision in 2020 over Trump's "stolen elections" claims, which Kemp refused to countenance, continues to have a major effect on the Georgia GOP

Some Republicans already fear inflation could cost them dearly in the 2026 midterms, warning Trump has only a few months to reset his trajectory on voters' most important issue. For a president whose credibility on the economy has always been his strongest asset, the prospect of the bottom falling out is uniquely dangerous. State of play: Trump's approval rating on inflation and cost of living currently sits at -24, nearing Biden's lows during the peak of the 2022-23 price surge.

Trump's strategies are centered on maintaining a Republican trifecta until the end of his term, focusing on both Congress and the implications for 2026 midterms.

Carville believes New Jersey and Virginia will be Democratic blowouts in the next elections and that Trump's policies will cost Republicans votes, leading to a massive defeat.