
"Where Republicans once held a commanding advantage with non-college voters, that lead has shrunk to just 4-points. When you can count on one hand, you know that you're in trouble. If you're Donald John Trump and the Republican Party, in this case, the Republican Party when it comes to the voters in Congress, and of course, a four point lead among non-college voters is not anywhere close to being good enough, Enten said,"
"CNN's chief data analyst Harry Enten warned President Donald Trump's approval rating with a key demographic within his base, non-college voters, was absolutely collapsing and dragging the Republican Party down with it. In an on-air breakdown of polling numbers with host Kate Bouldan, Enten revealed a dramatic reversal among the very voters who helped power Trump to electoral victory in 2024."
Support among voters without a college degree has flipped dramatically since 2024, moving from a 14-point advantage for Donald Trump over Kamala Harris to a 9-point net approval deficit — a 23-point swing. That reversal has narrowed the Republican edge among non-college voters to roughly four points, undermining the party’s ability to offset Democrats’ roughly 20-point lead among college-educated voters. The shift is affecting congressional dynamics ahead of the 2026 midterms. Declining manufacturing employment since the start of the presidency has weakened the economic pitch to revive American manufacturing and shield workers through tariffs and trade barriers.
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