#economic-forecast

#economic-forecast

Trump's election is influencing mortgage rate forecasts and increasing uncertainty in the housing market.

Housing market may revive with expected mortgage rate cuts and job growth, leading to increased home sales by 9% in 2025 and 13% in 2026.

High mortgage rates have significantly cooled the residential real estate market, creating challenges for potential homebuyers.

The housing market is unexpectedly resilient, with price growth forecasts despite high borrowing costs.

House prices in the UK are projected to rise over 3% in 2024, bucking earlier expectations.

Buyers are gaining leverage in a changing housing market as inventory rises, with trends possibly favoring them in 2025.

Tri Pointe Homes anticipates a strong spring selling season driven by home demand, despite ongoing supply challenges in the housing market.

Bank of Canada maintains 5% interest rate for the sixth consecutive time.

Expectations of the first rate cut during the June 5 meeting.

Inflation rose to 2.6% in October, matching forecasts and influencing Federal Reserve's decision on interest rates.

Britain's economy faces contraction as business confidence hits a two-year low following Chancellor Reeves's budget.

Mortgage rates are expected to stay elevated through summer due to Fed's decision to keep interest rates steady.

Inflation is easing as consumer price increases slowed notably in May.

Inflation has decreased to 2.1%, nearing pre-pandemic levels, yet core prices remain elevated, suggesting continued inflationary pressures.

Stocks could benefit from strong economic data, particularly with a solid payroll report boosting investor confidence.

Market activity is subdued ahead of major economic events, notably the US retail sales report and the final FOMC decision of the year.

US GDP may decline by 0.5% if Trump wins due to tariffs and immigration policy; Democratic victory could result in slight GDP boost.

Trump's administration could significantly affect California's economy through increased tariffs and immigration crackdowns.

Global sales of personal luxury goods are expected to shrink in 2025, potentially impacted by tariffs and global economic challenges.

The energy price cap is predicted to rise due to economic and geopolitical factors, impacting household energy costs significantly.

Home prices reached an all-time high in July, but the growth rate is slowing compared to previous months.

Despite increasing mortgage rates, national home prices continue to rise significantly, driven by tight supply and rising buyer demand.

Ad spending is forecasted to grow slowly in 2025 after a post-pandemic boom, emphasizing caution in the advertising industry.

The advertising market is experiencing unusual growth, but forecasts indicate a decline to mid-single-digit rates in the future.

Goldman Sachs predicts S&P 500 could reach 6,500, fueled by strong earnings but jeopardized by geopolitical tensions and inflation risks.

Warren Buffett's recent market actions signal cautiousness, as he sold significant shares and is holding cash for potential market downturns.

The stock market has surged significantly, with predictions for continued growth despite concerns over valuation and potential downturns.

US GDP grew at 2.8%, slightly below expectations, indicating healthy growth despite challenges.

The UK economy experienced a slight growth in August, indicating potential recovery despite broader challenges.

The UK economy expanded by 0.3% in 2023, tripling previous growth estimates, indicating a quicker recovery than anticipated.

Business confidence has declined due to rising tax concerns, jeopardizing investment and overall economic stability in the UK.

The Eurozone's economic outlook worsens as manufacturing declines and interest rate cuts by the ECB are anticipated.

The Federal Reserve surprised markets with a 50 bps interest rate cut, but remains behind optimal rate targets.

The rise in unemployment to 4.3% triggers recession indicator Sahm Rule since it's at least half a percent higher than the 12-month low.

Experts are divided on the possibility of an impending recession, some believe the economy can recover while others see rising unemployment as a sign of economic contraction.

The Dollar is consolidating as markets anticipate Fed Chair Powell's pivotal speech on interest rate strategy.

Investors are anxiously awaiting labor market data on September 6, 2024, which will heavily influence economic policy and market stability.

Mortgage rates dropped to 3.43%, down 5 basis points, approaching record low rates from 2012.

Refinancing activity surged by over 50% compared to last year, purchase activity increased by 6%.

Fed decision to keep target Federal Funds Rate steady led to a drop in rates and reduced probability of second rate hike.

US labour market report adds uncertainty to Fed rate cut expectations, keeping markets on edge with a stronger inclination towards easing than likely to be delivered.

Mortgage rates could decrease further but require economic weakness and Fed policy adjustments.

Better mortgage spreads and softer labor market conditions are essential for lowering rates.

A stock market correction could lead to more investment in the bond market, reducing yields.

Mortgage rates could stabilize between 5.75% and 7.25% in 2024, depending on labor market conditions and mortgage spreads.

Future mortgage rates are influenced by expectations of economic performance, labor data, and mortgage spread trends.

Investors should prepare for potential market downturns as active volatility may indicate an impending collapse of the current stock market bubble.

Elon Musk may become the first trillionaire by 2027, with several others predicted to follow by 2034.

Gold prices could reach $2,600 an ounce due to anticipated US interest rate cuts.

Interest rate cut expected in September could make real estate a valuable investment.

REITs provide high dividend yields as pass-through entities, with thematic REITs showing strong potential.

Opportunities present for investors to capitalize on real estate sector as interest rates are forecasted to decrease.

Mortgage approvals in the UK at lowest since January due to high interest rates.

A potential interest rate cut by Bank of England this summer is plausible.

The fall in service inflation may lead to another interest rate cut by the Bank of England next month.