#economic-forecast

#economic-forecast

The Government is projected to miss housing targets for the next three years due to declining construction activity.

The Spring Statement is not a Budget; it primarily serves as a forecast, indicating limited economic maneuvering.

Ireland's housing completion targets are likely to be missed in the next three years due to significant declines in construction activity.

Trump's election is influencing mortgage rate forecasts and increasing uncertainty in the housing market.

Housing market may revive with expected mortgage rate cuts and job growth, leading to increased home sales by 9% in 2025 and 13% in 2026.

Consumer spending significantly contributed to U.S. economic growth in late 2024.

US GDP may decline by 0.5% if Trump wins due to tariffs and immigration policy; Democratic victory could result in slight GDP boost.

Trump's administration could significantly affect California's economy through increased tariffs and immigration crackdowns.

Global sales of personal luxury goods are expected to shrink in 2025, potentially impacted by tariffs and global economic challenges.

The Independent emphasizes the need for on-the-ground journalism, especially during critical socio-political moments.

The EY Item Club projects slower economic growth for the UK in 2025, impacting government fiscal plans.

The Independent advocates for accessible journalism amidst critical issues, including reproductive rights and economic challenges.

Germany's growth forecast for 2025 has been slashed to zero due to US trade policy uncertainty, though public spending plans could help.

Germany's economy is set to shrink for a second consecutive year, highlighting significant economic troubles for the government.

The layoffs signify an impending recession in Washington, D.C., heavily dependent on its federal workforce.

The UK may enter a recession as GDP growth is expected to stall.

The UK economy experienced a slight growth in August, indicating potential recovery despite broader challenges.

Business confidence has declined due to rising tax concerns, jeopardizing investment and overall economic stability in the UK.

The UK economy expanded by 0.3% in 2023, tripling previous growth estimates, indicating a quicker recovery than anticipated.

The UK economy is projected to grow by 1.1% in 2024, with household consumption expected to rise significantly afterwards.

UK economic growth projections for 2025 have been significantly downgraded, creating concerns for the Chancellor's reputation.

Investors are anxiously awaiting labor market data on September 6, 2024, which will heavily influence economic policy and market stability.

Mortgage rates could decrease further but require economic weakness and Fed policy adjustments.

Better mortgage spreads and softer labor market conditions are essential for lowering rates.

A stock market correction could lead to more investment in the bond market, reducing yields.

The labor market remains solid but is softening to stabilize mortgage rates.

Job growth persists in health care and government, contrasting with manufacturing declines.

Potential rate cuts may occur in 2025 if inflation trends continue downwards, contrasting some market expectations of rate hikes.

Mortgage rates could stabilize between 5.75% and 7.25% in 2024, depending on labor market conditions and mortgage spreads.

Future mortgage rates are influenced by expectations of economic performance, labor data, and mortgage spread trends.

2025 may be defined by escalating political tensions and societal challenges, reminiscent of issues depicted in Billy Joel's iconic lyrics.

ING's chief economist warns of economic risks from Trump’s return, specifically his protectionist policies impacting European stability.

Goldman Sachs predicts S&P 500 could reach 6,500, fueled by strong earnings but jeopardized by geopolitical tensions and inflation risks.

Investors favor blue-chip dividend stocks for stable income and total return potential.

Warren Buffett's recent market actions signal cautiousness, as he sold significant shares and is holding cash for potential market downturns.

The stock market has surged significantly, with predictions for continued growth despite concerns over valuation and potential downturns.

The Federal Reserve surprised markets with a 50 bps interest rate cut, but remains behind optimal rate targets.

The Fed's recent interest rate cut won't significantly lower mortgage rates for homebuyers. Long-term projections indicate rates may remain high through 2025.

US GDP grew at 2.8%, slightly below expectations, indicating healthy growth despite challenges.

The Dollar is consolidating as markets anticipate Fed Chair Powell's pivotal speech on interest rate strategy.

US labour market report adds uncertainty to Fed rate cut expectations, keeping markets on edge with a stronger inclination towards easing than likely to be delivered.

Stocks could benefit from strong economic data, particularly with a solid payroll report boosting investor confidence.

Market activity is subdued ahead of major economic events, notably the US retail sales report and the final FOMC decision of the year.

Ad spending is forecasted to grow slowly in 2025 after a post-pandemic boom, emphasizing caution in the advertising industry.

The advertising market is experiencing unusual growth, but forecasts indicate a decline to mid-single-digit rates in the future.

Gold prices could reach $2,600 an ounce due to anticipated US interest rate cuts.

The Eurozone's economic outlook worsens as manufacturing declines and interest rate cuts by the ECB are anticipated.