#economic-forecast

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#housing-market

Here's where economists think the housing market is headed

Housing market may revive with expected mortgage rate cuts and job growth, leading to increased home sales by 9% in 2025 and 13% in 2026.

The real estate industry is gearing up for Trump 2.0 - 'opening the financial spigot will help the industry as a whole,' top CEO says

Tri Pointe Homes anticipates a strong spring selling season driven by home demand, despite ongoing supply challenges in the housing market.

Could mortgage rates end the year below 6%?

Mortgage rates have dropped but slowly; housing market stability remains uncertain due to economic fluctuations and uncertainties.

Redfin CEO's Plan B if mortgage rates don't fall: 'Drink our own urine or our competitors' blood'

Mortgage rate fluctuations create ongoing uncertainty in the housing market, affecting buyer and seller confidence.

Here's where economists think the housing market is headed

Housing market may revive with expected mortgage rate cuts and job growth, leading to increased home sales by 9% in 2025 and 13% in 2026.

The real estate industry is gearing up for Trump 2.0 - 'opening the financial spigot will help the industry as a whole,' top CEO says

Tri Pointe Homes anticipates a strong spring selling season driven by home demand, despite ongoing supply challenges in the housing market.

Could mortgage rates end the year below 6%?

Mortgage rates have dropped but slowly; housing market stability remains uncertain due to economic fluctuations and uncertainties.

Redfin CEO's Plan B if mortgage rates don't fall: 'Drink our own urine or our competitors' blood'

Mortgage rate fluctuations create ongoing uncertainty in the housing market, affecting buyer and seller confidence.
morehousing-market
#stock-market

Prediction: The S&P 500 Could Hit 6,500 Next Year

Goldman Sachs predicts S&P 500 could reach 6,500, fueled by strong earnings but jeopardized by geopolitical tensions and inflation risks.

Why Isn't Buffett Buying?

Warren Buffett's recent market actions signal cautiousness, as he sold significant shares and is holding cash for potential market downturns.

Prediction: The S&P 500 Could Hit 6,500 Next Year

Goldman Sachs predicts S&P 500 could reach 6,500, fueled by strong earnings but jeopardized by geopolitical tensions and inflation risks.

Why Isn't Buffett Buying?

Warren Buffett's recent market actions signal cautiousness, as he sold significant shares and is holding cash for potential market downturns.
morestock-market
#market-trends

Home Prices Continued To Hit New All-Time Highs in July

Home prices reached an all-time high in July, but the growth rate is slowing compared to previous months.

Home Prices Soared Higher in February, Despite Increasing Mortgage Rates

Despite increasing mortgage rates, national home prices continue to rise significantly, driven by tight supply and rising buyer demand.

Experts say Trump's tariffs could corrode the already struggling luxury-goods market, which is expected to shrink for the first time since the Great Recession

Global sales of personal luxury goods are expected to shrink in 2025, potentially impacted by tariffs and global economic challenges.

Home Prices Continued To Hit New All-Time Highs in July

Home prices reached an all-time high in July, but the growth rate is slowing compared to previous months.

Home Prices Soared Higher in February, Despite Increasing Mortgage Rates

Despite increasing mortgage rates, national home prices continue to rise significantly, driven by tight supply and rising buyer demand.

Experts say Trump's tariffs could corrode the already struggling luxury-goods market, which is expected to shrink for the first time since the Great Recession

Global sales of personal luxury goods are expected to shrink in 2025, potentially impacted by tariffs and global economic challenges.
moremarket-trends
#inflation

Bank of Canada holds key interest rate at 5% | CBC News

Bank of Canada maintains 5% interest rate for the sixth consecutive time.
Expectations of the first rate cut during the June 5 meeting.

Inflation heated up in October as expected

Inflation rose to 2.6% in October, matching forecasts and influencing Federal Reserve's decision on interest rates.

The Fed's latest interest rate decision could bring housing market to the 'breaking point'

Mortgage rates are expected to stay elevated through summer due to Fed's decision to keep interest rates steady.

Inflation Cooled, but the Fed Expects Just One Rate Cut This Year

Inflation is easing as consumer price increases slowed notably in May.

Inflation gauge closely watched by the Fed falls to lowest level since early 2021

Inflation has decreased to 2.1%, nearing pre-pandemic levels, yet core prices remain elevated, suggesting continued inflationary pressures.

The Fed keeps interest rates steady. What does that mean for CA mortgages?

Federal Reserve unlikely to lower interest rates soon, aiming for one rate cut by year-end.

Bank of Canada holds key interest rate at 5% | CBC News

Bank of Canada maintains 5% interest rate for the sixth consecutive time.
Expectations of the first rate cut during the June 5 meeting.

Inflation heated up in October as expected

Inflation rose to 2.6% in October, matching forecasts and influencing Federal Reserve's decision on interest rates.

The Fed's latest interest rate decision could bring housing market to the 'breaking point'

Mortgage rates are expected to stay elevated through summer due to Fed's decision to keep interest rates steady.

Inflation Cooled, but the Fed Expects Just One Rate Cut This Year

Inflation is easing as consumer price increases slowed notably in May.

Inflation gauge closely watched by the Fed falls to lowest level since early 2021

Inflation has decreased to 2.1%, nearing pre-pandemic levels, yet core prices remain elevated, suggesting continued inflationary pressures.

The Fed keeps interest rates steady. What does that mean for CA mortgages?

Federal Reserve unlikely to lower interest rates soon, aiming for one rate cut by year-end.
moreinflation
#gdp-growth

Canadian economy starts the year on a rebound with 0.6 per cent growth in January | CBC News

Canadian economy grew 0.6% in January, faster than expected
GDP growth likely at 0.4% in February

US economic growth was weaker than expected in the third quarter

US GDP grew at 2.8%, slightly below expectations, indicating healthy growth despite challenges.

Goldman sees US GDP hit if Donald Trump wins, boost If Kamala Harris, Democrats sweep

US GDP may decline by 0.5% if Trump wins due to tariffs and immigration policy; Democratic victory could result in slight GDP boost.

UK economy returns to growth in August after two stagnant months

The UK economy experienced a slight growth in August, indicating potential recovery despite broader challenges.

Revised 2023 UK economic growth figures show significant improvement, but challenges remain

The UK economy expanded by 0.3% in 2023, tripling previous growth estimates, indicating a quicker recovery than anticipated.

Canadian economy starts the year on a rebound with 0.6 per cent growth in January | CBC News

Canadian economy grew 0.6% in January, faster than expected
GDP growth likely at 0.4% in February

US economic growth was weaker than expected in the third quarter

US GDP grew at 2.8%, slightly below expectations, indicating healthy growth despite challenges.

Goldman sees US GDP hit if Donald Trump wins, boost If Kamala Harris, Democrats sweep

US GDP may decline by 0.5% if Trump wins due to tariffs and immigration policy; Democratic victory could result in slight GDP boost.

UK economy returns to growth in August after two stagnant months

The UK economy experienced a slight growth in August, indicating potential recovery despite broader challenges.

Revised 2023 UK economic growth figures show significant improvement, but challenges remain

The UK economy expanded by 0.3% in 2023, tripling previous growth estimates, indicating a quicker recovery than anticipated.
moregdp-growth

Germany's economy is on track to shrink for a second straight year

Germany's economy is set to shrink for a second consecutive year, highlighting significant economic troubles for the government.
#business-confidence

Business confidence dented by fears of higher taxes in budget

Business confidence has declined due to rising tax concerns, jeopardizing investment and overall economic stability in the UK.

Euro corrects on more shocking Eurozone data - London Business News | Londonlovesbusiness.com

The Eurozone's economic outlook worsens as manufacturing declines and interest rate cuts by the ECB are anticipated.

Business confidence dented by fears of higher taxes in budget

Business confidence has declined due to rising tax concerns, jeopardizing investment and overall economic stability in the UK.

Euro corrects on more shocking Eurozone data - London Business News | Londonlovesbusiness.com

The Eurozone's economic outlook worsens as manufacturing declines and interest rate cuts by the ECB are anticipated.
morebusiness-confidence
#federal-reserve

The Fed Pivot is Finally Here

The Federal Reserve surprised markets with a 50 bps interest rate cut, but remains behind optimal rate targets.

Markets Fall In Response to Lackluster Jobs Report

The rise in unemployment to 4.3% triggers recession indicator Sahm Rule since it's at least half a percent higher than the 12-month low.
Experts are divided on the possibility of an impending recession, some believe the economy can recover while others see rising unemployment as a sign of economic contraction.

Dollar faces uncertainty - London Business News | Londonlovesbusiness.com

The Dollar is consolidating as markets anticipate Fed Chair Powell's pivotal speech on interest rate strategy.

Expectations in the markets ahead of new US labour data - London Business News | Londonlovesbusiness.com

Investors are anxiously awaiting labor market data on September 6, 2024, which will heavily influence economic policy and market stability.

Benchmark Mortgage Rate Drops along with Probability of a Hike

Mortgage rates dropped to 3.43%, down 5 basis points, approaching record low rates from 2012.
Refinancing activity surged by over 50% compared to last year, purchase activity increased by 6%.
Fed decision to keep target Federal Funds Rate steady led to a drop in rates and reduced probability of second rate hike.

Mixed NFP means markets want more cuts than they're likely to get - London Business News | Londonlovesbusiness.com

US labour market report adds uncertainty to Fed rate cut expectations, keeping markets on edge with a stronger inclination towards easing than likely to be delivered.

The Fed Pivot is Finally Here

The Federal Reserve surprised markets with a 50 bps interest rate cut, but remains behind optimal rate targets.

Markets Fall In Response to Lackluster Jobs Report

The rise in unemployment to 4.3% triggers recession indicator Sahm Rule since it's at least half a percent higher than the 12-month low.
Experts are divided on the possibility of an impending recession, some believe the economy can recover while others see rising unemployment as a sign of economic contraction.

Dollar faces uncertainty - London Business News | Londonlovesbusiness.com

The Dollar is consolidating as markets anticipate Fed Chair Powell's pivotal speech on interest rate strategy.

Expectations in the markets ahead of new US labour data - London Business News | Londonlovesbusiness.com

Investors are anxiously awaiting labor market data on September 6, 2024, which will heavily influence economic policy and market stability.

Benchmark Mortgage Rate Drops along with Probability of a Hike

Mortgage rates dropped to 3.43%, down 5 basis points, approaching record low rates from 2012.
Refinancing activity surged by over 50% compared to last year, purchase activity increased by 6%.
Fed decision to keep target Federal Funds Rate steady led to a drop in rates and reduced probability of second rate hike.

Mixed NFP means markets want more cuts than they're likely to get - London Business News | Londonlovesbusiness.com

US labour market report adds uncertainty to Fed rate cut expectations, keeping markets on edge with a stronger inclination towards easing than likely to be delivered.
morefederal-reserve
#mortgage-rates

Can mortgage rates go even lower?

Mortgage rates could decrease further but require economic weakness and Fed policy adjustments.
Better mortgage spreads and softer labor market conditions are essential for lowering rates.
A stock market correction could lead to more investment in the bond market, reducing yields.

Are these the lowest mortgage rates we'll see in 2024?

Mortgage rates could stabilize between 5.75% and 7.25% in 2024, depending on labor market conditions and mortgage spreads.
Future mortgage rates are influenced by expectations of economic performance, labor data, and mortgage spread trends.

Can mortgage rates go even lower?

Mortgage rates could decrease further but require economic weakness and Fed policy adjustments.
Better mortgage spreads and softer labor market conditions are essential for lowering rates.
A stock market correction could lead to more investment in the bond market, reducing yields.

Are these the lowest mortgage rates we'll see in 2024?

Mortgage rates could stabilize between 5.75% and 7.25% in 2024, depending on labor market conditions and mortgage spreads.
Future mortgage rates are influenced by expectations of economic performance, labor data, and mortgage spread trends.
moremortgage-rates

Keir has integrity': Labour's Pat McFadden says Starmer will bring reasons to be cheerful

Keir Starmer is defended by Pat McFadden, emphasizing optimism about Britain's future despite economic challenges.

Magna: US ad spending rebound gathers force beyond cyclical events

U.S. ad spending forecast raised to 11.4% growth, totaling $377 billion, aided by economic conditions and events like the Olympics and elections.
#market-volatility

August's stock market fiasco is a 'stark red flag' for what's to come, veteran hedge funder warns

Investors should prepare for potential market downturns as active volatility may indicate an impending collapse of the current stock market bubble.

Elon Musk could be the world's first trillionaire in just a few years

Elon Musk may become the first trillionaire by 2027, with several others predicted to follow by 2034.

August's stock market fiasco is a 'stark red flag' for what's to come, veteran hedge funder warns

Investors should prepare for potential market downturns as active volatility may indicate an impending collapse of the current stock market bubble.

Elon Musk could be the world's first trillionaire in just a few years

Elon Musk may become the first trillionaire by 2027, with several others predicted to follow by 2034.
moremarket-volatility

Economy 'will perform better' this year, but 'unlikely to be in the fast lane any time soon' - London Business News | Londonlovesbusiness.com

The UK economy is projected to grow by 1.1% in 2024, with household consumption expected to rise significantly afterwards.

Alameda briefs: Chamber's business forecast, expo Sept. 26 on USS Hornet

The Alameda Economic Forecast & Business Expo is crucial for networking and understanding local economic trends.

The Bull Ad Market Will Soon Revert To Normal Growth Rates, Brian Wieser Predicts | AdExchanger

The advertising market is experiencing unusual growth, but forecasts indicate a decline to mid-single-digit rates in the future.

Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson predicted last month's market dip and now says stocks that lagged are due a catch up

Stocks could benefit from strong economic data, particularly with a solid payroll report boosting investor confidence.

Oregon may pay out $1 billion kicker in 2026 as tax revenues come in higher than expected

Oregonians will likely receive larger refunds in 2026 due to exceeding tax revenue projections.
#interest-rates

Gold prices could surge to $2,600 an ounce as us interest rate cut looms

Gold prices could reach $2,600 an ounce due to anticipated US interest rate cuts.

The Best Dividend Stock to Buy in August

Interest rate cut expected in September could make real estate a valuable investment.
REITs provide high dividend yields as pass-through entities, with thematic REITs showing strong potential.
Opportunities present for investors to capitalize on real estate sector as interest rates are forecasted to decrease.

UK mortgage approvals drop to six-month low as high borrowing costs deter buyers

Mortgage approvals in the UK at lowest since January due to high interest rates.

Bank of England deputy governor says summer rate cut 'possible' - London Business News | Londonlovesbusiness.com

A potential interest rate cut by Bank of England this summer is plausible.

Fall in service inflation 'very encouraging' for interest rates cut next month - London Business News | Londonlovesbusiness.com

The fall in service inflation may lead to another interest rate cut by the Bank of England next month.

Gold prices could surge to $2,600 an ounce as us interest rate cut looms

Gold prices could reach $2,600 an ounce due to anticipated US interest rate cuts.

The Best Dividend Stock to Buy in August

Interest rate cut expected in September could make real estate a valuable investment.
REITs provide high dividend yields as pass-through entities, with thematic REITs showing strong potential.
Opportunities present for investors to capitalize on real estate sector as interest rates are forecasted to decrease.

UK mortgage approvals drop to six-month low as high borrowing costs deter buyers

Mortgage approvals in the UK at lowest since January due to high interest rates.

Bank of England deputy governor says summer rate cut 'possible' - London Business News | Londonlovesbusiness.com

A potential interest rate cut by Bank of England this summer is plausible.

Fall in service inflation 'very encouraging' for interest rates cut next month - London Business News | Londonlovesbusiness.com

The fall in service inflation may lead to another interest rate cut by the Bank of England next month.
moreinterest-rates

What Does It Take to Break Into the Global B2C eCommerce Market in 2024? | HackerNoon

B2C eCommerce market to reach $8.1 trillion by 2026.
Online shopping convenience drives B2C eCommerce growth post-COVID.

Rishi Sunak hopes for inflation boost ahead of PMQs - UK politics - live

UK inflation may drop to near 2% target.

Why does California have the nation's highest unemployment rate? Three sectors were hit hard

California's unemployment rate was the nation's highest in February at 5.3% due to various job losses.
Job losses occurred in major sectors such as construction, trade, transportation, and consumer spending.

Germany's paralysis threatens European economy

Germany's economic forecast for 2024 sharply reduced from 1.3% growth to just 0.1% by major institutes.
Germany's economic struggles are impacting the rest of Europe due to its significant wealth contribution to the eurozone.

Ontario finance minister set to deliver 2024 budget | CBC News

Peter Bethlenfalvy to table Ontario's budget this afternoon
Observers predict a cautious budget from Ontario's Finance Minister

California's economy will see slow growth in 2024, economists say. Here's why

California's economy is expected to grow faster than the rest of the country, but uncertainties such as wars and high interest rates could hinder progress.
The UCLA Anderson School state forecast predicts slower growth for California due to uncertainties and a slower-growing U.S. economy.

EU states facing legal action over excessive debt DW 06/19/2024

EU member states like France, Italy, and Belgium face legal action over excessive debt accumulation post-COVID-19 and Russia's invasion of Ukraine.

U.S. Debt on Pace to Top $56 Trillion Over Next 10 Years

The U.S. national debt is projected to reach $56 trillion by 2034, with budget deficits expected to grow significantly over the next decade.
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