#economic-forecasting

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#gdp-growth #mortgage-rates #housing-market #monetary-policy #complexity-economics #agent-based-modelling
fromFast Company
6 days ago

Where mortgage rates are headed in 2026, according to 21 experts

Economic forecasting has never been easy, and it becomes even more challenging in the face of unprecedented events like COVID-19 lockdowns and extraordinary levels of fiscal and monetary intervention. This was followed by a rapid cycle of interest rate hikes, adding further complexity. Look no further than the fact that for three consecutive years ( 2022, 2023, and 2024) economic forecasts at large significantly underestimated mortgage rates. Recently, however, forecasters have fared better.
Real estate
Science
fromwww.theguardian.com
1 week ago

Economics has failed on the climate crisis. This complexity scientist has a plan to fix that

An agent-based global economic super-simulator could forecast crises and guide policy, with a ~$100m build cost and massive potential ROI from crisis prevention.
Business
fromwww.ocregister.com
2 months ago

10 questions for 2026's do-it-yourself economic forecast

Build a personal 2026 economic outlook using ten practical questions and local observations to assess earning, spending, saving, and emotional biases.
Business
fromFortune
4 months ago

The economy is just getting stronger, not weaker, and 'we in the economics profession need to look ourselves in the mirror,' top analyst says | Fortune

The U.S. economy is accelerating, with stronger-than-expected GDP, resilient consumer spending, and rising business investment despite high rates and tightening credit.
US politics
fromFast Company
5 months ago

Economists are not immune to political bias, research shows

Republican-affiliated economists predict higher GDP growth under Republican presidents, producing systematically larger forecast errors and reduced accuracy.
UK politics
fromwww.theguardian.com
5 months ago

With tax speculation festering, Rachel Reeves needs to show her hand | Richard Partington

Chancellor faces fiscal uncertainty with a potential autumn budget shortfall of £17bn–£50bn, increasing pressure to consider tax rises and spending adjustments.
NYC startup
fromBusiness Insider
9 months ago

The winning prize for Bridgewater's new research competition? $25k and a job at the world's biggest hedge fund.

Bridgewater's contest encourages innovative predictions on global economic change and protectionist policies, offering rewards for insightful contributions.
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