Right now, Democrats have no credible path to sustained control of the Senate and the White House. After the adjustments to the Electoral College map that look likely to come with the next census, the Democratic presidential nominee could win all the states won by Kamala Harris plus the blue wall of Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin and still fall short of the 270 electoral votes needed to win. An already unforgiving map becomes more so. This is equally true of the Senate.
If you go back a long way, the sitting president, whether it's Democrat or Republican, always loses the midterm, even if they've done well. Almost always. And, you know, you'd think it'd be like a 50/50 deal. Even if the president's done a great job. I think we've done a great job. We've done maybe the best job ever in the first year, but they always seem to lose the midterm.
"You got to win the midterms," Trump said Tuesday at a retreat for the party's House caucus in Washington. "They'll find a reason to impeach me. I'll get impeached." Trump offered a familiar blueprint for majority parties, which historically have lost seats in off-year elections: blaming their troubles on messaging problems and insisting that voters just aren't seeing their achievements. Trump predicted the GOP would pull off an "epic" victory and defy those trends.
President Donald Trump will gather with House Republicans on Tuesday to ensure they're aligned on their agenda at the start of a critical midterm election year that could alter the course of his final two years in office. GOP lawmakers are hosting a daylong policy forum at the Kennedy Center, the performing arts venue on the other side of Washington from the Capitol. Its board, which is stacked with Trump loyalists, recently voted to rename it the Trump Kennedy Center, though that move is being challenged in court.
Trump said 1.45 million military service members would get the warrior dividend before Christmas. The checks are already on the way, he said. Yet his bonus payments for the troops come as millions of Americans are fretting about the costs of groceries, housing, utilities and their holiday gifts as inflation remains elevated and the labor market has meaningfully weakened in recent months.
You cannot run in a midterm election by saying, vote for us because we've done a great job,' particularly when people don't feel the consequences of the policies that you've enacted. he continued. If the president's Big Beautiful Bill was as instantaneously positive as he thinks, his numbers wouldn't be-, on approval numbers on the economy, wouldn't be in the 30s, and his overall approval wouldn't be in the low-40s.
Donald Trump himself alternates between claiming he's already pushed the cost of living way down and publicly mulling ways to convince Americans to feel better about their ability to make ends meet. Obviously Republicans need to improve the president's sinking job-approval numbers in anticipation of high-stakes midterm elections. But more immediately, the GOP must decide how to deal with the health-insurance "cliff" it created by failing to extend Obamacare premium subsidies in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act.
We will be issuing dividends later on probably the middle of next year, a little bit later than that, Trump told reporters in the Oval Office on Monday. Thousands of dollars for individuals of moderate income, middle income. Last week, the president claimed that the checks, which require congressional approval, would be sent out next year. Trump said the idea is to give Americans the tariff money that has been collected on imports.
Contrary to all credible reports, Donald Trump continues to claim the economy is thriving and that everyday necessities are becoming more affordable. But according to CNN's chief data analyst Harry Enten, Americans aren't buying it. Enten cited a University of Michigan poll that showed consumer sentiment regarding current conditions is at its worst ever, dating back to 1951. "This is record-breaking in the way you don't want to be breaking records," Enten said, adding that the number is "down 30% since January, when Donald Trump took office."
Aware of how much is at stake in these midterms, the U.S. president has already launched an assault on several fronts to if all goes well, with the help of the Supreme Court alter the rules of the game before the vote (by manipulating the congressional map through redistricting), during the vote (by making it more difficult for minorities to vote), or afterwards (by denying the results if they are adverse).
Voter anger over the cost of living is hurtling forward into next year's midterm elections, when pivotal contests will be decided by communities that are home to fast-rising electric bills or fights over who's footing the bill to power Big Tech's energy-hungry data centers. Electricity costs were a key issue in this week's elections for governor in New Jersey and Virginia, a data center hotspot, and in Georgia, where Democrats ousted two Republican incumbents for seats on the state's utility regulatory commission.
In California, an overwhelming majority voted to redistrict, essentially canceling out the five House seats that Republicans had thought they gained through redistricting in Texas over the summer. The GOP's steep losses farther east cast even more doubt on the wisdom of its redistricting push. Voters repudiated Republicans virtually across the board, handing Democrats convincing victories for the governorships of New Jersey and Virginia, important judicial and legislative races in Pennsylvania.
I can't see into the future, but I see Republicans losing the House if Americans are continuing to go paycheck-to-paycheck, the Georgia congresswoman told the outlet. Pointing to record-high credit card debt among voters as evidence of economic strain, she added: They'll definitely be going into the midterms looking through the lens of their bank account. During the interview, Greene also condemned House Republicans' repeated failure to pass appropriation bills and refusal to negotiate health care reforms without tying them to government funding battles.