"Times Square's digital screens have nothing on the glaring warning signs for Republicans ahead of these upcoming midterm elections. President Trump, his policies and actions are unpopular. The GOP continues to lose special elections. Republicans are retiring at faster rates than Democrats. And people are saying they'd rather Democrats control Congress. At this point, all of it adds up to trouble for the party in power."
"Republicans currently have a 218-214 majority with three vacancies (one Democratic, two Republican). If the vacancies are filled by members of those same parties, which is likely, and you put redistricting battles to the side, Republicans can only afford to lose two seats to maintain their majority. At this point, according to the Cook Political Report, there are 36 House seats that are either toss-ups or lean toward one party or the other. Of those, 18 are held by Republicans and 18 are Democratic seats."
Electoral indicators favor Democrats heading into the midterms: presidential unpopularity, GOP special-election losses, higher Republican retirements, and voter preference for Democratic congressional control. Republicans hold a narrow 218-214 House majority with three vacancies and can only lose two seats to retain control. Thirty-six House seats are competitive, with 14 Republican-held toss-ups versus four Democratic. In the Senate Republicans hold a 53-47 advantage, but Democrats need a net gain of four seats to take control. Thirty-five Senate seats are up this cycle, though many remain safely held by incumbents.
Read at www.npr.org
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