#forecast-uncertainty

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Apple
fromNieman Lab
1 week ago

The team behind Dark Sky launches a weather app for uncertain, low-trust times

Acme Weather, from Dark Sky creators, displays forecast uncertainty through multiple prediction scenarios instead of single-point forecasts, acknowledging that weather predictions are inherently unreliable.
fromTime Out New York
2 weeks ago

Another snowstorm may hit NYC this weekend-here's what to know

Meteorologists say a powerful coastal system fueled by a so-called "bomb cyclone" could move toward the Northeast this weekend, bringing anything from a light dusting to a full-on sequel to January's snow chaos . The system is expected to travel across the country before strengthening off the Carolina coast on Sunday, potentially delivering snow and gusty winds to the tri-state area into Monday.
Environment
fromFOX 5 New York
3 weeks ago

Nor'easter or nothing: Explaining the scenarios for potential major weekend NYC snowstorm

The storm system is currently moving along the coast of Canada. Whether the system strengthens into a powerful coastal storm along the Northeast shoreline, or slides harmlessly out to sea, depends on several factors, including its track and the availability of cold air from Canada. While some snow appears to be the most likely outcome, all scenarios remain on the table, from a complete miss that tracks out to sea, to a major nor'easter, according to the FOX Forecast Center.
New York City
Snowboarding
fromSnowBrains
3 weeks ago

SnowBrains Forecast: Two More Feet for California This Week With Another Storm Brewing for Next Week - SnowBrains

A cold storm brings heavy Sierra snow, very low snow levels, and strong ridge winds Thursday, then a calmer weekend with storm uncertainty afterward.
#winter-storm
fromSnowBrains
1 month ago

SnowBrains Forecast: 20 cm for the Alps This Week Ahead of Massive Storm Cycle - SnowBrains

Fresh snow arrives across the western Alps tonight and continues into Friday, then a much stormier pattern takes over from Tuesday into next weekend. Snow levels through the first wave hover around 1,200 to 1,500 meters, so upper mountain terrain stays all snow while the lowest villages can see mixed precipitation. Snow quality with this first system looks mostly moderate, with SLRs commonly in the 10-14:1 range and pockets of lighter snow in higher terrain.
Snowboarding
fromsfist.com
1 month ago

Dry Spell Expected to Persist Until Mid-February, or Longer

It's turned into an unusually dry winter for Northern California, and that pattern, thanks to a ridge of high pressure, is going to continue for at least the first 10 days of February. As the Chronicle meteorology team tells us, the dry and balmy conditions will be with us through Super Bowl Weekend and beyond, continuing a pattern that has left the Sierra snowpack mighty low.
Environment
Science
fromThe New Yorker
1 month ago

The Forecast Wars on Weather Twitter

Social-media weather influencers sensationalize forecasts into certainty, contrasting cautious probabilistic professional meteorology and amplifying hype despite using the same public model data.
#tropical-cyclones
US news
fromMail Online
5 months ago

Hurricane Gabrielle threat in Atlantic as formation odds increase

Invest AL92 has a 90% chance of forming into Tropical Storm Gabrielle and will likely intensify, possibly reaching hurricane strength later this week.
Environment
fromwww.scientificamerican.com
6 months ago

At the Peak of Hurricane Season, the Atlantic Is Quiet. Here's Why

Atlantic hurricane season has been unusually quiet so far despite forecasts of above-average activity and agency cuts; the hurricane threat remains possible later.
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