At the moment, the betting in Washington is that Republicans and Democrats will manage to achieve just enough agreement on must-pass spending legislation to avoid another government shutdown on January 30. So what will Congress do between now and the November midterms? All the spending measures will run out on September 30 at the end of the federal fiscal year, but lawmakers will likely find a way to kick the can past Election Day.
Donald Trump himself alternates between claiming he's already pushed the cost of living way down and publicly mulling ways to convince Americans to feel better about their ability to make ends meet. Obviously Republicans need to improve the president's sinking job-approval numbers in anticipation of high-stakes midterm elections. But more immediately, the GOP must decide how to deal with the health-insurance "cliff" it created by failing to extend Obamacare premium subsidies in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act.
Many have criticized the Byrd rule as arbitrary, and it can certainly seem that way. But last year, I published a detailed analysis of Byrd rule doctrine that described several rules guiding what is and is not permitted in reconciliation bills.
