Against the spread, New England went 11-6-0 during the regular season. It is 1-0-0 ATS in the playoffs. The Patriots have an ATS record of 7-3 when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites this season (regular season and playoffs). There were 11 New England games (out of 17) that hit the over during the season, and it has had zero of one postseason game hit the over. The Patriots were the moneyline favorite 11 total times during the regular season.
The Broncos, who beat Josh Allen and the Bills in the divisional round, 33-30 in overtime, are the top seed in the conference and feature perhaps the NFL's biggest home-field advantage because of the high altitude in Colorado. They feature a hellacious defense - the Broncos ranked second in the NFL in yards allowed (278.2 per game) and third in points allowed (18.3) during the regular season.
12:03pm: Vance Joseph 's second Broncos stint has boosted his stock, and after seven years back on the coordinator level, the former head coach is poised to become a strong candidate for a second-chance opportunity. Several teams will meet with the Denver DC about HC vacancies. The Cardinals, Giants, Raiders and Titans will huddle up with Joseph, according to ESPN's Adam Schefter. Because the Broncos secured the AFC's bye slot, Joseph can discuss HC jobs with teams beginning Wednesday of this week. The interviews must be virtual, but Joseph will conduct them all this week.
The 2025 season feels like the supreme example of NFL parity. We're somehow sitting here in Week 13 with two teams hitting double digits in the win column: the 10-2 Broncos, who held on for dear life to beat the Commanders on Sunday night, and the 10-2 Patriots, who play on "Monday Night Football" against the Giants. There are bad teams because there are always bad teams, of course,
In the second half, they started throwing haymakers. And scoring touchdowns. They ended up delivering a classic rivalry game that turned on a sack by Broncos defensive back Ja'Quan McMillian -- his second of the game, to go with an interception -- and ended when Broncos kicker Wil Lutz made a 35-yard field goal as time ran out for a 22-19 Denver victory.