In 2025, the housing market has shown positive growth, albeit from a historically low benchmark. Predictions indicate modest improvements in pending contracts, indicating a gradual recovery despite some negative weekly readings. Current data suggests that mortgage rates, if stabilized near 6%, may lead to a more robust housing demand, prompting adjustments in sales forecasts. The 10-year yield remains a pivotal influence on market dynamics, with economic indicators such as labor data gaining importance for future trends.
Overall, we've seen positive growth year over year with most of the weekly data in 2025, though it's from a historically low baseline.
Mortgage rates trending closer to 6% could stimulate real growth in housing demand, indicating a potential upward adjustment in sales forecasts.
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