What to expect from social commerce during the upcoming holiday shopping season | MarTech
Briefly

Social commerce surged into the mainstream in 2024, with TikTok Shop reaching $33.2 billion in global GMV and the U.S. contributing $9 billion despite a recent launch. Early 2025 momentum added $8 billion in Q1, lifting global GMV toward $58 billion and signaling creators and live-streaming as structural commerce elements. Short-form video and live shopping are becoming primary storefronts, while platform shifts that push checkout to brand sites make merchants responsible for conversion. Mobile speed, streamlined payments, accelerated loading and clear policies will be critical for holiday peak performance and impulse-driven gift discovery.
In 2024, social commerce moved decisively into the mainstream. TikTok Shop's gross merchandise value (GMV) surged to $33.2 billion globally, more than doubling from the previous year. The U.S. emerged as the single largest market, contributing $9 billion in GMV, even though TikTok Shop only launched in the U.S. in September 2023. This included a standout performance during Black Friday, when U.S. sales alone exceeded $100 million.
Momentum didn't slow in early 2025. In just the first quarter, TikTok Shop added $8 billion to its global GMV, pushing it to a staggering $58 billion - a trajectory hinting at possible doubling of 2024's performance by year end. These figures signal not merely a spike, but a structural shift: creators and live-streaming are now fixtures in commerce.
TikTok Shop's rise highlights live and short-form video as the new storefront. Meta's move to push checkout to brand sites invites a shift in strategy. While discovery may still happen within Facebook or Instagram, conversion is now the merchant's responsibility. This amplifies pressure on digital speed, mobile optimization and seamless checkout experiences. The benefits of accelerated loading, streamlined payments and clear policies will carry amplified weight during the high-stakes holiday peaks.
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