Data from the prediction market site gives Harris a greater chance of winning four of the six key swing states, which is unsurprising as those four have historically leaned Democrat. Wisconsin has caught the interest of many poll watchers who call it one of the more competitive states. Wisconsin voted for Donald Trump in 2016, breaking a streak of Democratic wins, and has often shown tighter races between the two parties. Polymarket, however, gives Harris a clean lead in the Badger State, pricing her at 56 cents a share compared to 44 cents for Trump.
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Each share pays out $1 (in USDC, a cryptocurrency that trades 1:1 for dollars) if the candidate wins, and nothing if it doesn't, so the market is signaling Harris has a 56% chance of carrying Wisconsin.
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