Goldman Sachs projects the UK's base rate could drop to 2.75% by November 2025, driven by progress on disinflation and dovish signals from policymakers.
While markets expect a gradual decline to around 3.5%, Goldman Sachs believes the Bank of England will lower rates more aggressively as inflation eases.
The Bank's Monetary Policy Committee has differing views; Bailey suggests potential aggressiveness if inflation stabilizes, while Huw Pill prefers a gradual approach.
The UK inflation rate has unexpectedly dropped to 1.7%, increasing expectations for the Bank of England to ease monetary policy in the near future.
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