"Progress on tamping down inflation has stalled in recent months, as risk factors like trade tensions and potential tax cuts continue to loom large in market forecasts."
"Analysts are concerned that Trump's proposed tariffs on major trading partners could create supply chain bottlenecks, potentially reigniting inflation and impacting the Fed's interest rate policy."
"Economists at Deutsche Bank warn that if the Trump tariffs are enacted, core P.C.E. could increase by an additional 1.1 percentage points next year, signifying a significant inflationary risk."
"With the core P.C.E. forecast at 2.8 percent annually, this is indicative of a persistent inflation trend that might lead the Fed to reconsider its current interest rate strategy."
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