Gary Marcus, a cognitive scientist and AI skeptic, is warning that once everyone wises up to these shortcomings, the entire industry could crash. 'The economics are likely to be grim,' Marcus wrote on his Substack. 'Sky high valuation of companies like OpenAI and Microsoft are largely based on the notion that LLMs will, with continued scaling, become artificial general intelligence. As I have always warned, that's just a fantasy.'
Ilya Sutskever, founder of the startup Safe Superintelligence and co-founder and former chief science officer of OpenAI, told Reuters that improvements from scaling up AI models have plateaued. The dogma that 'bigger is better' when it comes to AI models, which has predicated the industry's ludicrous growth, may no longer be true.
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