#nfl-betting

#nfl-betting

Week 13 of the NFL season is well underway with four matchups completed over the Thanksgiving holiday. While fans of those eight franchises can kick back on Sunday afternoon, New York gridiron supporters will not have that luxury with both the New York Giants and New York Jets still to play their scheduled games this week. Here is a look at the NFL sports betting action for New York as the NFL wraps up its November schedule and kicks off the December slate.

The exclusive BetMGM bonus code AMNY1500 will lock you into one of the most lucrative welcome offers on the market for Panthers-49ers tonight. Use the code then place a first time cash bet on the game to get a $1,500 first bet on BetMGM. If your original wager settles as a loss, the sportsbook will send back your entire bet in bonus bets here.

Play-action is at the core of the Colts' offense; they use it on 33% of dropbacks, second most in the NFL. And it might be a particularly potent lever in Week 12, because the Chiefs -- while generally a solid defense that ranks 13th in EPA allowed per dropback -- have struggled mightily against play-action. They rank dead last in EPA allowed per play-action play (0.38) and have allowed a 62% success rate against play-action, second worst among all defenses.

It might be prudent to wait a week and buy a better number after the upcoming game against the Colts, but Indianapolis is gettable, and the Falcons have the sort of speedy pass rush that the Steelers used to give Daniel Jones fits. I could see the Falcons totally imploding down the stretch, or I could see them rallying hard around Raheem Morris.

Oddsmakers -- and some respected bettors -- seemed to believe Jackson would be back, too. The Ravens opened as 6.5-point home favorites over the Chicago Bears and grew to minus-7.5 on Friday at ESPN BET. Up to that point, approximately two-thirds of the bets and money wagered was on the underdog Bears plus the points. Elsewhere, though, sportsbooks such as the Westgate SuperBook in Las Vegas and Caesars Sportsbook reported receiving bets on the Ravens from sharp bettors.

The Falcons return home to face the Dolphins in Week 8 with an opportunity for a bounce back game. Kevin Knight is joined by David Bearman (Betting with Bearman) to break down the upcoming game, including the latest injury reports, the matchups to watch on offense and defense, and some betting lines to target during Sunday's game. Fellow Falcoholics, welcome to another episode of the Dirty Birds and Brews podcast! You can also listen to all of our video shows in an audio-only podcast format, available on all your favorite podcast platforms or by using the player below.

Bookmakers could almost see it coming. Bet after bet showed up on the favorites in the early NFL slate Sunday. The books would need an upset to avoid falling into a big hole. They wouldn't get it. Favorites went a perfect 7-0 straight up and against the spread in the early slate. (Some sportsbooks had the New York Jets favored over the Carolina Panthers, possibly by mistake; the Panthers won outright.)

The Bills are coming off a loss to the Patriots, their first of the season. They are still the favorite to win the Super Bowl at +475. The Falcons defeated the the Commanders in Week 4 and had a bye last week. At 2-2, they are +190 to earn a playoff berth. The Bills opened as 4.5-point favorites but the line has been bet down to 3.5.

The influence of celebrities in sports is undeniable, as it has emerged as one of the powerful factors that drives NFL betting over the years. Games that feature popular stars don't just bring views to the game, they also impact NFL betting volume. According to insights from northcarolinabettinghub.com, wagering volume often surges when stars are live in the stadium or spotlighted during broadcasts. These effects go beyond fandom: bettors use star appearances as signals.

Value is value, no matter where -- or how -- you find it. And that's what we'll aim to do each week in this space -- finding value. Ben Solak and Seth Walder bring different perspectives into how they approach sports betting. Solak leans on his expertise in player evaluation and the X's and O's to find edges. Walder relies on statistical models to pick out plus-expected value bets.

These betting promos will set up players for success this NFL season. Eagles vs. Cowboys is the top option on Thursday night, but don't forget about Chiefs vs. Chargers on Friday night in Brazil. New players who take advantage of these NFL betting promos can start building a bankroll for a full weekend of football. Click here to start signing up with DraftKings Sportsbook.

Evans entered the league in 2014 as the No. 7 pick, and he surpassed 1,000 receiving yards in his rookie season. Then he did it in 2015, again in 2016 and, you know what, Evans has yet to stop sliding past the 1,000-yard receiving mark in a season. Now entering his 12th NFL season, Evans looks to break a tie with Hall of Famer Jerry Rice, who also achieved a streak of 11 consecutive seasons with 1,000 receiving yards.

My hope is the Bengals find a way to keep Trey Hendrickson on this roster. He's a game changer. Coordinator Al Golden must create a new identity on the defensive side of the ball, too. Limit the explosive plays and win in the red zone. But I'm still making this bet because of Joe Burrow and a pass-heavy Bengals offense that ranked top 10 in scoring last season.