"Value is value, no matter where -- or how -- you find it. And that's what we'll aim to do each week in this space -- find value. Ben Solak is out this week, so Matt Bowen is filling in with his own unique style. Bowen and Seth Walder bring different perspectives into how they approach sports betting. A former NFL safety, Bowen predicts positive matchups and game winners from tape study and his understanding of the league."
"These weekly picks will not be limited to a certain bet type. From spreads and money lines to totals or even defensive player props, a good price might be found anywhere. Results will be tracked throughout the season, with flat one-unit wagers for each listed bet. As always, odds are from ESPN BET Sportsbook. With that, let's dive into Week 3. Note: Walder's defensive prop bets will be added as they become available."
Weekly picks aim to find betting value using both tape-based matchup analysis and statistical models. Picks span spreads, money lines, totals and defensive player props, with prices sought across bet types. Results are tracked using flat one-unit wagers per listed bet and odds from ESPN BET Sportsbook. Defensive evaluations focus on impact players and pass-rush production. Injuries at the second and third levels can weaken run defense and coverage. Through two weeks, Dallas is allowing 6.4 yards per play, supporting an over-50.5 total in a projected Dallas-Chicago matchup.
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