What Happens if Iran Shuts Down the Strait of Hormuz?
Briefly

What Happens if Iran Shuts Down the Strait of Hormuz?
"Hormuz risk is not only about closure but also fleet productivity. If Iran escalates by seizing tankers or using drones to threaten commercial traffic, voyage times and possibly costs for Middle East oil exports would further increase."
"If the strait formally closed, most oil exports from the Gulf would be cut off from the world almost immediately. Even if Saudi Arabia and the UAE pushed their alternative pipelines to the limit, analysts say about two-thirds of Gulf exports would still be stuck."
"Qatar, the world's largest exporter of liquefied natural gas-a super-cooled form of natural gas shipped by tanker-depends almost entirely on the Strait of Hormuz to export its fuel. If the route were blocked, Asian buyers could lose their key suppliers within days."
The Strait of Hormuz is critical to global energy security, with February data showing 20.4 million barrels per day of outbound oil flows. Geopolitical tensions alone are already slowing shipments and increasing voyage times through threats of tanker seizures and drone attacks. Saudi Arabia and UAE operate bypass pipelines, but these cover only a portion of Gulf flows, leaving Iraq, Kuwait, and Qatar without meaningful alternatives. A formal closure would immediately cut off most Gulf oil exports, with approximately two-thirds remaining stuck despite maximum pipeline capacity. Qatar, the world's largest LNG exporter, depends almost entirely on the strait for exports. Asian economies including Japan, South Korea, China, and India would lose key energy suppliers within days. Alternative Atlantic sources would require longer shipping times and higher costs, potentially pushing global oil prices sharply higher and affecting consumers worldwide.
Read at WIRED
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