You're much more likely to get retrained than fired due to AI, but layoffs will rise, NY Fed says
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You're much more likely to get retrained than fired due to AI, but layoffs will rise, NY Fed says
"Companies using AI are rushing to retrain their workers for now, though the share that plan layoffs or trim hiring is expected to rise in the coming months, according to a new survey from the New York Fed. Among service companies in the New York-northern New Jersey region that have already deployed AI, 35% said they are retraining their workers, up from 24% last year. And over the next six months, that share is expected to jump to 47%."
"But layoffs are coming: 13% of service companies are planning them in the next six months, up from just 1% this year and 10% last year. And 23% expect to hire fewer workers, nearly doubling from 12% this year. By contrast, 12% plan to hire more, little changed from 11% this year. "Interestingly, the reduction in hiring due to AI was concentrated among jobs that require a college degree," the New York Fed said on Thursday."
A New York Fed survey of firms in the New York-northern New Jersey region finds rising retraining among companies that have deployed AI, with 35% of service firms retraining now and 47% expected to do so within six months. Manufacturing firms show similar or larger planned retraining. Planned layoffs among service firms are forecast to rise to 13% in the next six months, and 23% expect to hire fewer workers. Reductions in hiring are concentrated among jobs requiring a college degree, potentially worsening job prospects for recent college graduates. Manufacturing hiring shows modest improvement.
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