Polls are snapshots in time, reflecting voter intentions, while prediction markets allow real-money bets on outcomes, suggesting a different approach to forecasting elections.
Advocates of prediction markets argue they provide a better measure of public sentiment and potential outcomes, often showing a more favorable outlook for candidates like Trump.
Researchers find mixed results comparing polls and prediction markets, indicating that while markets can sometimes be accurate, they shouldn't be taken at face value without scrutiny.
While polls aim to capture current voter sentiments, prediction markets operate on real investments which could influence their predictive accuracy and reliability.
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