#election-forecasting

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fromThe Nation
17 hours ago

The Primary Win That Stunned Democrats Everywhere

Decision Desk HQ (DDHQ) is one of the more respected election forecasters, and as such, a flurry of outlets followed its call and crowned Malinowski, a former US House representative, the winner of the Democratic primary election. The North Jersey congressional seat is solidly Democratic-its previous representative, Mikie Sherrill, is now the governor of New Jersey-meaning that whoever emerged out of this primary would likely win the special election in two months' time. For a moment, it appeared as though that would be Malinowski.
US politics
#prediction-markets
US politics
fromHarvard Gazette
4 months ago

'Vibes or hunches' don't help win elections - Harvard Gazette

Political campaigns should prioritize analytics over gut instinct, using sophisticated polling and behavioral research to guide strategy amid fragmented information environments.
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