Donald Trump will begin his second term as president the same way he began his first—with Republicans controlling both the House and Senate. However, a slim majority means that the legislation most prized on the right and feared by the left—a national abortion ban, dramatic cuts to federal spending, the repeal of Barack Obama's Affordable Care Act and Joe Biden's largest domestic-policy achievements—is unlikely to pass Congress. Brendan Buck, a former aide to Paul Ryan, suggests they may not even make attempts at these issues.
Trump's biggest opportunity for a legacy-defining law may be extending his 2017 tax cuts, which are due to expire next year and won't need to overcome a Senate filibuster to pass. This approach offers a pathway that avoids the internal divisions of past congressional sessions. Additionally, Trump might find bipartisan support for new immigration restrictions, including funding for his promised southern border wall, aligning with a post-election electorate that favored more hawkish stances on immigration.
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