As of Saturday evening, 538 gives Trump a 50% chance of winning the presidential race, while Republicans have a 90% chance of regaining control of the Senate.
Trump's victory in the presidential race would give him significant control over US foreign policy and the makeup of the federal government.
Making the tax cuts permanent would cost $288.5bn in 2026 alone and disproportionately benefit the highest-income households.
Perhaps the most haunting possibility for Democrats is that Republicans would use their governing trifecta in Washington to enact a nationwide abortion ban.
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