In North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Michigan, neither candidate even 'leads' by more than two-tenths of a percentage point... With the polls so tight, the term 'leads' really does need to be in quotation marks.
The difference between 'leading' or 'trailing' by 0.2 points might feel very significant... the election, however, is not decided by the polls; it's decided by the voters.
As a consequence, a lead or deficit of 0.2 points in a polling average is not the difference between whether a candidate is winning or losing.
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