In fact, Mr. Trump has made larger gains among Black, Hispanic, Asian American and young voters in his three campaigns since 2016 than he has among white voters without a college degree, according to New York Times estimates.
But there probably wasn't a realistic case of young and nonwhite voters supporting Ms. Harris at a level the Democrats would have taken for granted just a few years ago.
After three Trump elections, almost every traditional Democratic constituency has swung to the right. This erosion of strength among the party's core groups has been happening for a long time.
In each case, Mr. Trump fared better than any Republican in decades, showing a significant shift not only in demographics but also in party loyalty.
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