What's really misleading about extremely close election contests is that if you stare at the numbers long and hard enough, they grow in stature and meaning, because otherwise you're stuck with an imponderable situation that leaves little to say with any degree of confidence.
RealClearPolitics shows Kamala Harris's national lead now dropping to 0.2 percent... FiveThirtyEight, which weighs polls for quality and partisan bias, shows Harris leading nationally by 1.7 percent.
But with this relatively small variation in the national vote, the three sources of polling averages show big variation in the Electoral College outcome.
Three recent Arizona polls have Harris leading, indicating diverging credible polls from the averages reported by the major sources.
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