#election-polling

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#kamala-harris

Harris-vs.-Trump Polls: Everything's Within the Margin of Error

Variations in polling averages may obscure the uncertainty surrounding close election contests, leading to differing interpretations of electoral outcomes.

I'm rocking with Kamala': Black men defy faulty polling by showing up for Harris campaign

Black men mobilizing for Kamala Harris's campaign challenges narratives about their political leanings.

We're Missing the Point About Latino Voters

Latino voters are not a monolithic group; polling shows varying support for Kamala Harris across different Latino subgroups.

RFK Jr. Running Mate Muses About How to Help Trump

Kennedy's independent candidacy struggles with decreasing support and challenges in securing ballot access.

Will Kamala Harris run for California governor in 2026? The question is already swirling

Vice President Kamala Harris's potential run for California governor in 2026 could dramatically shift the political landscape.

Harris-vs.-Trump Polls: Everything's Within the Margin of Error

Variations in polling averages may obscure the uncertainty surrounding close election contests, leading to differing interpretations of electoral outcomes.

I'm rocking with Kamala': Black men defy faulty polling by showing up for Harris campaign

Black men mobilizing for Kamala Harris's campaign challenges narratives about their political leanings.

We're Missing the Point About Latino Voters

Latino voters are not a monolithic group; polling shows varying support for Kamala Harris across different Latino subgroups.

RFK Jr. Running Mate Muses About How to Help Trump

Kennedy's independent candidacy struggles with decreasing support and challenges in securing ballot access.

Will Kamala Harris run for California governor in 2026? The question is already swirling

Vice President Kamala Harris's potential run for California governor in 2026 could dramatically shift the political landscape.
morekamala-harris
#political-analysis

Opinion | The Election Is in 10 Weeks. These 3 Things About the Polls Keep Me Up at Night.

Polling provides insights but remains an imperfect science with historical inaccuracies affecting predictions.
The interest in election polling heightens as Election Day approaches, revealing complexities in accurate forecasting.

NYT's Sample Versus Early Vote - emptywheel

NYT polls show discrepancies with early voting trends, suggesting inaccuracies in capturing voting demographics and potential undercount of certain voter groups.

Opinion | The Election Is in 10 Weeks. These 3 Things About the Polls Keep Me Up at Night.

Polling provides insights but remains an imperfect science with historical inaccuracies affecting predictions.
The interest in election polling heightens as Election Day approaches, revealing complexities in accurate forecasting.

NYT's Sample Versus Early Vote - emptywheel

NYT polls show discrepancies with early voting trends, suggesting inaccuracies in capturing voting demographics and potential undercount of certain voter groups.
morepolitical-analysis

'It's close': Half of voters polled favor L.A. County Measure A sales tax for homeless services

Measure A is gaining momentum with 50% support from voters, according to the latest poll.

Accurate Polls Hinge on a Tricky Question: Who's Actually Going to Vote?

Polling groups currently emphasize likely voters, impacting election predictions and strategies due to differing methodologies used to identify this group.
Understanding polling methodologies is crucial for interpreting election outcomes, especially in close races with varying results among different voter samples.

Trump Media stock climbs more than 7% after poll shows ex-president beating Harris

Trump's favorable polling impacts the stock price of Trump Media positively.
Despite gains, Trump Media's stock is significantly down from its peak in March.
The expiration of Trump's lockup provision could lead to significant share selling.

Tories hit new poll low after Sunak called snap election

The Tories are at their lowest vote share in a weekly tracker poll, with only 19 percent, while Labour leads at 45 percent.

Poll finds most Londoners 'concerned' by Susan Hall's social media comments on climate change

London Mayor Sadiq Khan holds a significant lead over his Tory rival due to voters' concerns about Susan Hall's past statements on climate change.

Polls can't predict the next US president this early but they can teach us

Election polling fluctuates post-State of the Union speech
Polls reflect latent partisanship with variation due to polarization

Jeremy Hunt's seat under threat as voters put NHS ahead of tax perks

Chancellor Hunt's constituents prioritize NHS over tax cuts in upcoming election.
Poll in Hunt's constituency indicates potential loss for Hunt due to NHS concerns.
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