Prediction markets have grown in popularity for political predictions, showcasing the wisdom of the crowd and real-time sentiment compared to traditional polling methods.
According to Thomas Miller, prediction markets provide a sophisticated way to foresee political events, as they reflect traders' perceptions of future outcomes rather than past responses.
Polling data from national polls suggest a tight presidential race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump, indicating significant voter uncertainty.
While Harris leads in some polls, prediction markets like PredictIt suggest Trump's campaign actually has the edge, highlighting discrepancies between traditional polling and market sentiment.
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