The Met Office forecasts a "Spanish plume" bringing warm weather to the UK, with temperatures soaring to 25C. While Spain faces extreme heat of 40C, the UK may also experience thunderstorms due to this warm, humid air. Despite the earlier forecast indicating a higher chance of severe storms, updated models suggest a low-pressure system's earlier arrival could limit the energy needed for significant storm development. Nonetheless, there remains a potential for isolated thunderstorms, particularly in the southeast, driven by modest surface heating resulting in temperatures of 22-23C.
A low-pressure system is expected to move across Northern Ireland and northern Scotland. Its timing and position have shifted slightly in recent model runs, which has implications for the rest of the UK.
A plume of warm, humid air from France and Spain had the potential to trigger severe thunderstorms in the south, but with the low arriving earlier than previously expected, this plume may not have enough time to fully develop.
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