The Slow Death of the Predictive Wizards
Briefly

The election landscape has dramatically changed over the past 25 years, now heavily reliant on technology-driven fundraising and emotional appeals through targeted emails.
Trump's fundraising approach is interesting; he asks supporters to prioritize their needs over his campaign, indicating a shift in GOP dependency on small donors.
The current political climate is rife with attempts to predict election outcomes using data models, yet the polling industry's accuracy is increasingly questioned.
Many are engaging in speculative games, relying on betting markets and models to gauge electoral fortunes, but the realities of past elections challenge their predictions.
Read at The American Conservative
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