
"A retired couple living on $6,200 monthly ($74,400 annually) with average Social Security benefits of $2,071 each (totaling $4,142) withdraws approximately $2,058 from their portfolio to cover the gap. That suggests a nest egg around $617,000 using the 4% withdrawal rule. The challenge isn't whether this works today-it's whether it still works in year 15 or 20. At 3% annual inflation, that $6,200 monthly budget needs to become $8,333 in 10 years and $11,180 in 20 years just to maintain the same lifestyle."
"At $74,400 in combined income, this couple likely faces taxation on up to 85% of their Social Security benefits. The thresholds are $32,000 for any taxation and $44,000 for maximum taxation (married filing jointly), and these haven't been adjusted for inflation since 1984. With roughly $50,000 in Social Security and $25,000 in withdrawals, their provisional income exceeds $44,000, meaning up to $42,000 of Social Security becomes taxable."
"The 2026 standard deduction of $32,200 helps, but they're still paying federal tax on approximately $35,000 to $40,000 of income. At 12% bracket rates, that's $4,200 to $4,800 annually-money that can't compound or cover rising expenses. The fix: Roth conversions in early retirement years, strategic withdrawal sequencing, or qualified charitable distributions after age 70½ can reduce lifetime tax bills substantially."
A retired couple with $74,400 annual needs receives $4,142 from Social Security and withdraws about $2,058 monthly from a portfolio, implying a $617,000 nest egg using the 4% rule. At 3% inflation their $6,200 monthly budget grows to $8,333 in 10 years and $11,180 in 20 years, and Social Security COLAs may not match retiree-specific inflation, especially healthcare. If Social Security rises 2.5% while expenses rise 3.5%, withdrawal demands increase faster than 4%. Sequence-of-returns risk can deplete modest-growth portfolios within 15 years. Tax rules can make up to 85% of benefits taxable, and Roth conversions, withdrawal sequencing, or qualified charitable distributions can substantially lower lifetime taxes.
Read at 24/7 Wall St.
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