A recent dinner discussion highlighted contrasting views on AI reaching human-like intelligence. Tech CEOs predict advanced AI like LLMs will bring societal benefits and may soon achieve superintelligence. However, skeptics like Thomas Wolf argue that current models cannot replicate the creativity required for groundbreaking discoveries. They advocate for detailed exploration into the methodologies needed for significant advancements. This conversation reveals a divide within the AI community regarding the feasibility of AGI and the timeline for its realization, suggesting a complex and evolving discourse.
"I would love to see this 'Einstein model' out there, but we need to dive into the details of how to get there," Wolf told T.
Dario Amodei, Anthropic's CEO, wrote in an essay that exceptionally powerful AI could arrive as soon as 2026 and be "smarter than a Nobel Prize winner across most relevant fields."
OpenAI CEO Sam Altman recently claimed his company knows how to build "superintelligent" AI, and predicted it may "massively accelerate scientific discovery."
Thomas Wolf, Hugging Face's co-founder and chief science officer, called some parts of Amodei's vision "wishful thinking at best."
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