Asteroid 2024 YR4, potentially striking Earth on December 22, 2032, has a collision risk of 2.3%, prompting notifications to planetary defense authorities. Although this risk has increased from previous estimates, it remains below the existential threat threshold. Measuring 130 to 300 feet across, it pales in comparison to the asteroid that led to the dinosaurs' extinction. Ranking as a three on the Torino Scale, it poses a risk of localized destruction rather than global calamity. Global cooperation in monitoring asteroids is strong, leading to confidence in the management of such threats.
The asteroid 2024 YR4 poses a collision risk of just 2.3%, which is below the threshold for an existential threat to Earth.
NASA and the ESA reported an increased collision risk for asteroid 2024 YR4, leading to the need for planetary defense authority notification.
Despite media attention, the asteroid's impact would be localized, with a Torino Scale rating of three, and is not a threat to global civilization.
Historical precedents show that even small asteroids can cause damage, but 2024 YR4's risk remains low and manageable by international agencies.
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