Asteroid 2024 YR4 is under observation due to a 1.2% chance of impacting Earth on December 22, 2032, as confirmed by NASA and the ESA. While this probability is low, the asteroid, which is estimated to be between 131 and 328 feet wide, could cause significant regional damage if it were to hit, especially at its high entry speed. The size determination is ongoing, as the first detection came from the ATLAS telescope in Chile, part of a program to search for near-Earth threats.
The asteroid 2024 YR4 has a 1.2% chance of impacting Earth on December 22, 2032, but a nearly 99% chance of safely passing by.
If the asteroid is on the larger end of its size range, it could cause severe local damage, potentially affecting areas up to 50 kilometers from the impact point.
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