Shayne Coplan's Polymarket has predicted significant election developments, such as Biden potentially dropping out and Trump choosing JD Vance, affecting political analysis.
Despite Polymarket's growing influence and a $70 million investment, skepticism remains due to concerns about the bettors' representativeness and the authenticity of trades.
As the election approaches, Coplan's low-profile status contrasts with the increasing scrutiny his platform faces, with potential to solidify or undermine his reputation as a political oracle.
Nate Silver's decision to join Polymarket as an adviser signifies the platform's rising credibility, although divergent opinions on its reliability remain prevalent.
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