#political-predictions

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#polling

This race is close but I'm predicting Donald Trump wins the Electoral College - and possibly the popular vote

Donald Trump is predicted to win the Electoral College and potentially the popular vote in the upcoming election.

Election Forecasts Try to Go Beyond the Polls. Are They Helping?

Election forecasting has gained prominence and accuracy since Nate Silver introduced his model in 2008, utilizing various data points to predict outcomes.

Piers Morgan Bets Anthony Scaramucci $1000 Trump Will Win Election

Scaramucci predicts Trump may exit the 2024 race if poll numbers worsen, emphasizing the potential for significant electoral implications.

This race is close but I'm predicting Donald Trump wins the Electoral College - and possibly the popular vote

Donald Trump is predicted to win the Electoral College and potentially the popular vote in the upcoming election.

Election Forecasts Try to Go Beyond the Polls. Are They Helping?

Election forecasting has gained prominence and accuracy since Nate Silver introduced his model in 2008, utilizing various data points to predict outcomes.

Piers Morgan Bets Anthony Scaramucci $1000 Trump Will Win Election

Scaramucci predicts Trump may exit the 2024 race if poll numbers worsen, emphasizing the potential for significant electoral implications.
morepolling

Trump's Second Presidency Will Only Accelerate America's Imperial Decline

U.S. global hegemony may end by 2025, with Trump’s presidency marking a significant turning point.

Opinion | If You're Sure How Trump's Term Will Play Out, I Promise: You're Wrong

Humans can imagine the future but are frequently wrong about predictions, highlighting our inability to foresee complex outcomes.
#2024-election

Even Losing May Not Stop Trump's Campaign of Vengeance

Despite the appearances of a shifting political landscape, traditional wisdom can often be misleading in predicting election outcomes.

A historian who's correctly predicted 9 out of 10 elections says Kamala Harris will win in 2024

Allan Lichtman predicts Kamala Harris will win the presidency, citing favorable conditions and her advantages over Donald Trump.
Harris's candidacy benefits from positive economic conditions and her lack of scandals, favoring her against Trump.

The Problem With Predicting a Harris Landslide

Public polling is complex, and relying on averages helps mitigate overreactions to isolated poll data.

Nate Silver on the 2024 race: 'It's no longer Trump's election to lose.'

Nate Silver predicts a toss-up for 2024 elections between Trump and Harris, with Harris showing slight momentum.

Harris has a narrow lead on Trump post-debate, prediction markets say

Betting markets indicate shifting public perceptions about the candidates ahead of the 2024 election.
Harris' endorsement by celebrities and her debate performance boosted her odds over Trump.
Interest in prediction markets has surged, especially among younger voters.

Mediaite's Tommy Christopher Predicts Trump Will Run From Jail' in 2028: His Fans Will Vote For Him After He's Dead'

Kamala Harris has a strong chance of winning against Trump in 2024, potentially leading to unexpected results.

Even Losing May Not Stop Trump's Campaign of Vengeance

Despite the appearances of a shifting political landscape, traditional wisdom can often be misleading in predicting election outcomes.

A historian who's correctly predicted 9 out of 10 elections says Kamala Harris will win in 2024

Allan Lichtman predicts Kamala Harris will win the presidency, citing favorable conditions and her advantages over Donald Trump.
Harris's candidacy benefits from positive economic conditions and her lack of scandals, favoring her against Trump.

The Problem With Predicting a Harris Landslide

Public polling is complex, and relying on averages helps mitigate overreactions to isolated poll data.

Nate Silver on the 2024 race: 'It's no longer Trump's election to lose.'

Nate Silver predicts a toss-up for 2024 elections between Trump and Harris, with Harris showing slight momentum.

Harris has a narrow lead on Trump post-debate, prediction markets say

Betting markets indicate shifting public perceptions about the candidates ahead of the 2024 election.
Harris' endorsement by celebrities and her debate performance boosted her odds over Trump.
Interest in prediction markets has surged, especially among younger voters.

Mediaite's Tommy Christopher Predicts Trump Will Run From Jail' in 2028: His Fans Will Vote For Him After He's Dead'

Kamala Harris has a strong chance of winning against Trump in 2024, potentially leading to unexpected results.
more2024-election
#election-2024

MAGA world's hyper-confidence raises risk of post-election meltdown

Republicans project confidence in Trump's chances despite potential vulnerabilities, creating a misleading narrative that may impact perceptions of the election outcome.

Who is Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan? The 26-year-old's crypto betting site is taking U.S. politics by storm

Shayne Coplan's Polymarket is influencing political predictions but faces skepticism over the reliability of its betting system.

Bill Maher Assures Panel That Trump Is Definitely Going To Lose': I'm Not Even Worried About It'

Bill Maher is confident that Donald Trump will lose to Kamala Harris in the upcoming election.

'Okay, so I was wrong': Checking in on the TikTok creators who predicted Kamala Harris would win

Trump's election highlights the unpredictability of political outcomes despite early predictions favoring Harris.

MAGA world's hyper-confidence raises risk of post-election meltdown

Republicans project confidence in Trump's chances despite potential vulnerabilities, creating a misleading narrative that may impact perceptions of the election outcome.

Who is Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan? The 26-year-old's crypto betting site is taking U.S. politics by storm

Shayne Coplan's Polymarket is influencing political predictions but faces skepticism over the reliability of its betting system.

Bill Maher Assures Panel That Trump Is Definitely Going To Lose': I'm Not Even Worried About It'

Bill Maher is confident that Donald Trump will lose to Kamala Harris in the upcoming election.

'Okay, so I was wrong': Checking in on the TikTok creators who predicted Kamala Harris would win

Trump's election highlights the unpredictability of political outcomes despite early predictions favoring Harris.
moreelection-2024
#kamala-harris

Here's how the winner of the 2024 US presidential election did it | Jonathan Freedland

The outcome of the US election may seem unpredictable, but historical trends suggest incumbents typically falter in tough economic conditions.

Opinion: What Harris' run for California attorney general can tell us about this campaign

Smart Republicans in 2010 aimed to prevent Kamala Harris' rise knowing her potential as a Democratic presidential nominee.

Astrologers Say 2024's Political Future May Be Written in the Stars

Astrologers are gaining popularity by predicting political events, notably in the chaotic 2024 US presidential election.

Here's how the winner of the 2024 US presidential election did it | Jonathan Freedland

The outcome of the US election may seem unpredictable, but historical trends suggest incumbents typically falter in tough economic conditions.

Opinion: What Harris' run for California attorney general can tell us about this campaign

Smart Republicans in 2010 aimed to prevent Kamala Harris' rise knowing her potential as a Democratic presidential nominee.

Astrologers Say 2024's Political Future May Be Written in the Stars

Astrologers are gaining popularity by predicting political events, notably in the chaotic 2024 US presidential election.
morekamala-harris
#us-elections

Could monkeys predict the presidential election? Fascinating new study

Monkeys can predict losing candidates in elections by analyzing their gaze patterns on photos.

Election Betting Odds: Get Free $20 to Bet With Kalshi | amNewYork

Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are now being bet on in a regulated prediction market, with Trump currently favored to win the 2024 election.

Could monkeys predict the presidential election? Fascinating new study

Monkeys can predict losing candidates in elections by analyzing their gaze patterns on photos.

Election Betting Odds: Get Free $20 to Bet With Kalshi | amNewYork

Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are now being bet on in a regulated prediction market, with Trump currently favored to win the 2024 election.
moreus-elections

This Is Coming to This Country': Kara Swisher Warns Italy's Anti-LGBTQ Parenting And Surrogacy Law Will Come to U.S.

Concerns over LGBTQ rights in the U.S. are rising, influenced by anti-gay legislation seen in countries like Italy.

In 2024, the Pundits Are Wronger Than Ever

Pundit predictions have been significantly off this election cycle, illustrating a disconnect between economic performance and voter sentiment.

Federal judge clears way for betting on U.S. elections in predictions market case

Election-related betting is now legal in the U.S. following a court ruling favoring Kalshi over CFTC.

The View Gives Rachel Maddow a Slice of Humble Pie' For Dismissing Biden Dropping Out of Race as Fantasy' During Last Appearance

Rachel Maddow reflected on her misjudgment regarding Biden's candidacy, emphasizing the unpredictability of political events and the significance of debates.

Opinion | Harris or Trump? The Prophet of Presidential Elections Is Ready to Call the Race.

Allan Lichtman confidently predicts the 2024 election outcome using his historical model, disregarding polls amidst unprecedented events.

Move over, presidential race. These state governments also are up for grabs

State legislative races could significantly impact local power dynamics, with potential party shifts in several chambers.
Voter priorities in state elections may diverge from national issues, focusing instead on local concerns.

Markets reassess 'Trump Trade' as Biden withdraws from race

Investors assessing Biden's exit and Harris's rise impact on Trump's chances.
Expect spike in market volatility until clarity on Harris's nomination and challenge to Trump.
Markets may shift based on Biden's exit, Harris's nomination, and Trump's poll lead.
Little historical data available to predict market reactions to President not seeking reelection.

Opinion | Prison Time Is the Real Factor in the Trump Verdict's Impact on 2024

People struggle to predict their future behavior accurately, impacting survey responses and political predictions.

Bitcoin soars with Trump's electoral chances-alongside MAGA-themed tokens and NFTs

Bitcoin price rose 9% post-assassination attempt on Trump, signaling market belief in crypto-friendly leaders' White House win.

Tory minster concedes historic Labour victory likely

The general election in the UK is likely to result in a significant victory for the Labour Party, according to a Conservative cabinet minister.
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