#political-predictions

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#donald-trump

Even Losing May Not Stop Trump's Campaign of Vengeance

Despite the appearances of a shifting political landscape, traditional wisdom can often be misleading in predicting election outcomes.

This race is close but I'm predicting Donald Trump wins the Electoral College - and possibly the popular vote

Donald Trump is predicted to win the Electoral College and potentially the popular vote in the upcoming election.
from www.theguardian.com
4 days ago

Here's how the winner of the 2024 US presidential election did it | Jonathan Freedland

The outcome of the US election may seem unpredictable, but historical trends suggest incumbents typically falter in tough economic conditions.
from www.mediaite.com
1 month ago

Bakari Sellers Declares on CNN That Trump Loss Will Be Republicans' Juneteenth: A Lot of Them Will Cut Loose of Donald Trump'

Bakari Sellers predicts Republicans will sever ties with Trump after the 2024 election loss, viewing it as a turning point for the party.

Bill Maher Assures Panel That Trump Is Definitely Going To Lose': I'm Not Even Worried About It'

Bill Maher is confident that Donald Trump will lose to Kamala Harris in the upcoming election.

Peter Thiel predicts the 2024 election won't be close: 'One side is simply going to collapse'

The 2024 election will likely not be close, according to Peter Thiel, who cites historical trends and lack of political spending.
Thiel maintains that historical elections show most races aren't tight, contrasting them with the past two election cycles.
He believes one side will collapse in the upcoming election, predicting a clear outcome.
from The New Yorker
14 hours ago

Even Losing May Not Stop Trump's Campaign of Vengeance

Despite the appearances of a shifting political landscape, traditional wisdom can often be misleading in predicting election outcomes.

This race is close but I'm predicting Donald Trump wins the Electoral College - and possibly the popular vote

Donald Trump is predicted to win the Electoral College and potentially the popular vote in the upcoming election.

Here's how the winner of the 2024 US presidential election did it | Jonathan Freedland

The outcome of the US election may seem unpredictable, but historical trends suggest incumbents typically falter in tough economic conditions.

Bakari Sellers Declares on CNN That Trump Loss Will Be Republicans' Juneteenth: A Lot of Them Will Cut Loose of Donald Trump'

Bakari Sellers predicts Republicans will sever ties with Trump after the 2024 election loss, viewing it as a turning point for the party.

Bill Maher Assures Panel That Trump Is Definitely Going To Lose': I'm Not Even Worried About It'

Bill Maher is confident that Donald Trump will lose to Kamala Harris in the upcoming election.

Peter Thiel predicts the 2024 election won't be close: 'One side is simply going to collapse'

The 2024 election will likely not be close, according to Peter Thiel, who cites historical trends and lack of political spending.
Thiel maintains that historical elections show most races aren't tight, contrasting them with the past two election cycles.
He believes one side will collapse in the upcoming election, predicting a clear outcome.
moredonald-trump
#election-2024

Who is Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan? The 26-year-old's crypto betting site is taking U.S. politics by storm

Shayne Coplan's Polymarket is influencing political predictions but faces skepticism over the reliability of its betting system.

MAGA world's hyper-confidence raises risk of post-election meltdown

Republicans project confidence in Trump's chances despite potential vulnerabilities, creating a misleading narrative that may impact perceptions of the election outcome.

Who is Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan? The 26-year-old's crypto betting site is taking U.S. politics by storm

Shayne Coplan's Polymarket is influencing political predictions but faces skepticism over the reliability of its betting system.

MAGA world's hyper-confidence raises risk of post-election meltdown

Republicans project confidence in Trump's chances despite potential vulnerabilities, creating a misleading narrative that may impact perceptions of the election outcome.
moreelection-2024
#us-elections

Election Betting Odds: Get Free $20 to Bet With Kalshi | amNewYork

Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are now being bet on in a regulated prediction market, with Trump currently favored to win the 2024 election.

Could monkeys predict the presidential election? Fascinating new study

Monkeys can predict losing candidates in elections by analyzing their gaze patterns on photos.

Election Betting Odds: Get Free $20 to Bet With Kalshi | amNewYork

Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are now being bet on in a regulated prediction market, with Trump currently favored to win the 2024 election.

Could monkeys predict the presidential election? Fascinating new study

Monkeys can predict losing candidates in elections by analyzing their gaze patterns on photos.
moreus-elections

This Is Coming to This Country': Kara Swisher Warns Italy's Anti-LGBTQ Parenting And Surrogacy Law Will Come to U.S.

Concerns over LGBTQ rights in the U.S. are rising, influenced by anti-gay legislation seen in countries like Italy.
#2024-election

The Ohio bakery that's predicted every presidential election since 1984 correctly

A Cincinnati bakery claims to have accurately predicted every U.S. presidential election since 1984 using cookie sales as a polling method.

The Problem With Predicting a Harris Landslide

Public polling is complex, and relying on averages helps mitigate overreactions to isolated poll data.

Harris has a narrow lead on Trump post-debate, prediction markets say

Betting markets indicate shifting public perceptions about the candidates ahead of the 2024 election.
Harris' endorsement by celebrities and her debate performance boosted her odds over Trump.
Interest in prediction markets has surged, especially among younger voters.

Nate Silver on the 2024 race: 'It's no longer Trump's election to lose.'

Nate Silver predicts a toss-up for 2024 elections between Trump and Harris, with Harris showing slight momentum.

The Ohio bakery that's predicted every presidential election since 1984 correctly

A Cincinnati bakery claims to have accurately predicted every U.S. presidential election since 1984 using cookie sales as a polling method.

The Problem With Predicting a Harris Landslide

Public polling is complex, and relying on averages helps mitigate overreactions to isolated poll data.

Harris has a narrow lead on Trump post-debate, prediction markets say

Betting markets indicate shifting public perceptions about the candidates ahead of the 2024 election.
Harris' endorsement by celebrities and her debate performance boosted her odds over Trump.
Interest in prediction markets has surged, especially among younger voters.

Nate Silver on the 2024 race: 'It's no longer Trump's election to lose.'

Nate Silver predicts a toss-up for 2024 elections between Trump and Harris, with Harris showing slight momentum.
more2024-election

In 2024, the Pundits Are Wronger Than Ever

Pundit predictions have been significantly off this election cycle, illustrating a disconnect between economic performance and voter sentiment.

Federal judge clears way for betting on U.S. elections in predictions market case

Election-related betting is now legal in the U.S. following a court ruling favoring Kalshi over CFTC.

The View Gives Rachel Maddow a Slice of Humble Pie' For Dismissing Biden Dropping Out of Race as Fantasy' During Last Appearance

Rachel Maddow reflected on her misjudgment regarding Biden's candidacy, emphasizing the unpredictability of political events and the significance of debates.
#2024-elections

Opinion | Harris or Trump? The Prophet of Presidential Elections Is Ready to Call the Race.

Allan Lichtman confidently predicts the 2024 election outcome using his historical model, disregarding polls amidst unprecedented events.

Astrologers Say 2024's Political Future May Be Written in the Stars

Astrologers are gaining popularity by predicting political events, notably in the chaotic 2024 US presidential election.

Opinion | Harris or Trump? The Prophet of Presidential Elections Is Ready to Call the Race.

Allan Lichtman confidently predicts the 2024 election outcome using his historical model, disregarding polls amidst unprecedented events.

Astrologers Say 2024's Political Future May Be Written in the Stars

Astrologers are gaining popularity by predicting political events, notably in the chaotic 2024 US presidential election.
more2024-elections

Move over, presidential race. These state governments also are up for grabs

State legislative races could significantly impact local power dynamics, with potential party shifts in several chambers.
Voter priorities in state elections may diverge from national issues, focusing instead on local concerns.

Opinion: What Harris' run for California attorney general can tell us about this campaign

Smart Republicans in 2010 aimed to prevent Kamala Harris' rise knowing her potential as a Democratic presidential nominee.

Markets reassess 'Trump Trade' as Biden withdraws from race

Investors assessing Biden's exit and Harris's rise impact on Trump's chances.
Expect spike in market volatility until clarity on Harris's nomination and challenge to Trump.
Markets may shift based on Biden's exit, Harris's nomination, and Trump's poll lead.
Little historical data available to predict market reactions to President not seeking reelection.

Opinion | Prison Time Is the Real Factor in the Trump Verdict's Impact on 2024

People struggle to predict their future behavior accurately, impacting survey responses and political predictions.

Bitcoin soars with Trump's electoral chances-alongside MAGA-themed tokens and NFTs

Bitcoin price rose 9% post-assassination attempt on Trump, signaling market belief in crypto-friendly leaders' White House win.

Tory minster concedes historic Labour victory likely

The general election in the UK is likely to result in a significant victory for the Labour Party, according to a Conservative cabinet minister.
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