"Gulf Arab states have concerns about Trump being unpredictable and the risks of having him back in the White House. Of particular concern is the fear that Trump could inflame the Middle East at a time when it is on the brink of all-out regional war," said Giorgio Cafiero, CEO of Gulf State Analytics, highlighting the cautious stance of Arab leaders regarding potential future conflicts.
"The threat of an all-out regional war in the Middle East was triggered by Hamas terrorist attacks on Israel on October 7, 2023. In response, Israel has sought to destroy Hamas and its ally, the Lebanese militia Hezbollah, which have resulted in tens of thousands of civilian casualties," illustrating the conflict's devastating impact.
"Trump's unpredictable approach to foreign policy during his previous term and his backing of controversial Israeli policies raised alarm among Gulf leaders, reflecting a significant shift in attitudes as tensions rise in the region."
"Now, however, attitudes toward Iran have changed, and Gulf leaders' reactions to Trump's reelection as US president will likely be less enthusiastic, underscoring the geopolitics at play in the Middle Eastern landscape."
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