NYT's state-by-state samples show discrepancies in early voting trends, particularly in Georgia and Michigan, likely influencing their predictions and overall accuracy.
While NYT's poll in Pennsylvania accurately captured early voting trends, discrepancies in other states raise concerns about undercounting Trump supporters and misrepresenting voter demographics.
The underrepresentation of women voters in Michigan's NYT poll combined with flawed assumptions about voter turnout could skew results, suggesting a likely voter split that doesn't reflect reality.
Nevada's NYT polling results are puzzling, as assumptions about an even split of unknown voters contradict the state's gender demographics, leading to a misleading conclusion.
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