The article discusses the rapid advancements in artificial intelligence, suggesting that A.I. systems are beginning to exceed human performance in areas like math and medical diagnosis. The author predicts that by 2026 or 2027, a company may announce the creation of artificial general intelligence (A.G.I.), leading to debates regarding its legitimacy. Despite skepticism from some, the implications of powerful A.I. systems are substantial, promising trillions in economic value and shifting political power, while highlighting the unpreparedness of governments and society to manage these advancements and risks.
"I believe that over the past several years, A.I. systems have started surpassing humans in a number of domains… and that they're getting better every day."
"I believe that very soon… one or more A.I. companies will claim they've created an artificial general intelligence, or A.G.I."
"I believe that over the next decade, powerful A.I. will generate trillions of dollars in economic value… and that most governments and big corporations already view this as obvious."
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