Caroline Ellison's plea deal suggests she may avoid prison time due to her cooperation with the government, with prediction markets indicating a 48% chance of her release.
Despite a 48% chance of no prison time, Polymarket bettors believe there's a 20% chance Ellison could still receive 12 to 13 months in prison.
Traders see Qualcomm's bid for Intel as highly unlikely, with only a 13% chance that the deal will succeed by the end of October.
Intel's stock struggles to recover due to past mistakes in AI chip development, leaving it unable to compete with industry giants in the ultra-high-margin data center sector.
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