Wall Street analysts foresee Tesla selling 2.07 million vehicles in 2025, a 16% increase from 2024, despite a gloomy outlook for the company. Factors contributing to this skepticism include the potential rollback of EV incentives under Trump's administration, impacting sales significantly in the US. Additionally, increasing competition from Chinese electric vehicle manufacturers poses another threat, as they often offer lower prices and superior technology. Some Tesla investors argue that sales do not necessarily rely on incentives, countering analysts' predictions.
Analysts argue that Trump's promise to roll back policies boosting electric vehicle sales could heavily impact Tesla's future sales volume expectations in 2025.
Barclays analyst estimates two-thirds of Tesla's US sales benefit from incentives, but changes to EV subsidies may take effect in 2026, affecting sales dynamics.
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