The Department of Health's analysis indicates an impending shortage of family doctors, particularly in areas facing rising elderly populations and single-handed practices. With 3,262 active GPs in 2022 and over 1,000 expected retirements, urgent action is needed in succession planning and incentivizing GPs. The GP training intake has increased by 86% since 2015, suggesting potential resolution by 2030 if training yields sufficient new doctors to offset retirements, though rural and non-city areas remain concerningly vulnerable.
The report stresses the necessity for improved succession planning and enhanced incentives for GPs in pressured regions, where demographic changes are leading to doctor shortages.
As we anticipate over 1,000 retirements, effective management of our GP capacity by 2030 depends on a greater influx of trained doctors entering the workforce.
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