In October 2025, Bitcoin ( ) suffered a sharp fall, losing about $20,000 amid a $19 billion crypto market wipeout triggered by U.S.-China trade tensions. With the shakeout still fresh, many investors are asking: can Bitcoin rebound to $120,000 before 2026? The recent crash has injected caution into the market, yet underlying demand and institutional flows remain active. We'll analyze if Bitcoin can reclaim its ATH by year's end by assessing the key market factors, reviewing realistic odds of a rebound, and identifying the hurdles ahead.
On March 10, 2000, the Nasdaq-100 traded at 5,048.62. On October 9, 2002, it had dropped to 1,114, down 78% from its peak. If a decline occurs anywhere near that level, it will be due to several factors combined. The most likely outcome is a huge disappointment in the future of artificial intelligence (AI). Another would be raging inflation caused by tariffs. (This leaves a major war out of the equation.) A drop of the same magnitude would take the Nasdaq down over 19,000 points.