Ongoing conflict in the Middle East continues to disrupt global markets and oil prices, adding a persistent layer of uncertainty for UK firms. This geopolitical instability is driving higher cost pressures and intensifying concerns around supply chains and energy security, all of which are critical factors in strategic business decision making.
President Trump stated, 'the fact that the Government of Iran is seriously fractured, not unexpectedly so,' which influenced his decision to extend the ceasefire.
The anticipated increase reflects renewed pressure on household budgets driven by surging oil and fuel costs, which economists say are increasingly being shaped by the fallout from the conflict involving US-Israeli and Iranian forces.
The conflict has driven up the price of oil and natural gas; damaged oil refineries, tanker terminals and other energy infrastructure; disrupted shipments of fertiliser that the world's farmers depend on; and damaged the confidence of businesses and consumers.
The dollar stabilised to a certain extent today after retreating in the prior session, but could remain relatively volatile as markets react to geopolitical developments in the Middle East. Treasury yields were firmer following a pullback on Monday as well.