A Chinese blockade of Taiwan could lead to significant tensions and conflicts, factoring in the United States' potential intervention alongside its allies, complicating the situation considerably.
The CSIS report emphasizes that while China has several strategies for a blockade, risking an escalation leads to significant uncertainties regarding the potential for broader conflict.
Current trends indicate an increased likelihood that China may opt for aggressive, non-peaceful methods to achieve its objectives regarding Taiwan, raising concerns around military confrontations.
Experts suggest the high-risk nature of a blockade of Taiwan must be weighed against its potential to provoke a larger war, complicating Sino-American relations for the foreseeable future.
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